Tuesday, January 17, 2017

2017 NCAA Basketball Bracket Projection-1/18/17

MIDWEST(1)-Kansas City, MO
Tulsa, OK
1 Baylor
16 Weber State/Morgan State
8 SMU
9 Middle Tennesse State
Orlando, FL
5 Duke
12 Indiana/Texas Tech
4 Florida
13 Monmouth
Sacramento, CA
6 St. Mary's
11 Providence
3 Oregon
14 UNC-Asheville
Milwaukee, WI
7 TCU
10 VCU
2 Creighton
15 North Dakota State

SOUTH(4)-Memphis, TN
Salt Lake City, UT
1 Gonzaga
16 New Orleans
8 Clemson
9  Dayton
Salt Lake City, UT
5 Virginia
12 Nevada
4 Arizona
13 New Mexico State
Greenville, SC
6 Xavier
11 Arkansas/Rhode Island
3 Louisville
14 Georgia Southern
Tulsa, OK
7 Northwestern
10 Seton Hall
2 Kansas
15 Bucknell

EAST(2)-New York, NY
Buffalo, NY
1 Villanova
16 UC Irvine/Long Island-Brooklyn
8 Michigan State
9 California
Milwaukee, WI
5 Minnesota
12 Akron
4 Notre Dame
13 Vermont
Buffalo NY
6 Cincinnati
11 UNC-Wilmington
3 West Virginia
14 Richmond
Indianapolis, IN
7 Wisconsin
10 Pittsburgh
2 Kentucky
15 Princeton

WEST(3)-San Jose, CA
Sacramento, CA
1 UCLA
16 Texas Southern
8 Virginia Tech
9 South Carolina
Greenville, SC
5 Maryland
12 Valparaiso
4 North Carolina
13 Chattanooga
Indianapolis, IN
6 Purdue
11 Illinois State
3 Butler
14 Florida Gulf Coast
Orlando, FL
7 USC
10 Iowa State
2 Florida State
15 Belmont

Danger Zone
Last 10 in: California, Seton Hall, Pittsburgh, VCU, Iowa State,  Providence, Arkansas, Indiana, Texas Tech, Rhode Island
First 12 Out: Illinois, NC State,Penn State, Georgia, Georgia Tech, Miami (FL), Nebraska, College of Charleston, Texas-Arlington, Wake Forest, Kansas State, Ole Miss 
Multiple Bid Conferences
ACC- 9
Big Ten- 7
Big 12- 6
Big East- 6
Pac-12- 5
SEC- 4
A-10- 4
AAC-2
WCC-2

Tuesday, January 10, 2017

Bracket Projection- 1/11/17

MIDWEST(1)-Kansas City, MO
Tulsa, OK
1 Baylor
16 UC-Irvine/Morgan State
8 Northwestern
9 Arkansas
Orlando, FL
5 Florida
12 Indiana/TX-Arlington
4 Virginia
13 Vermont
Salt Lake City, UT
6 St. Mary's
11 South Carolina
3 Oregon
14 Eastern Washington
Milwaukee, WI
7 Cincinnati
10 TCU
2 Creighton
15 Winthrop

SOUTH(4)-Memphis, TN
Sacramento, CA
1 Gonzaga
16 North Dakota State
8 Michigan State
9  Texas Tech
Salt Lake City, UT
5 Notre Dame
12 Nevada
4 Arizona
13 New Mexico State
Greenville, SC
6 Purdue
11 UNC-Wilmington
3 Louisville
14 FGCU
Tulsa, OK
7 Wisconsin
10 VCU
2 Kansas
15 Yale

EAST(2)-New York, NY
Buffalo, NY
1 Villanova
16 New Orleans/FDU
8 SMU
9 Dayton
Milwaukee, WI
5 North Carolina
12 Illinois State
4 Minnesota
13 Akron
Greenville, SC
6 USC
11 NC State
3 West Virginia
14 Monmouth
Indianapolis, IN
7 Virginia Tech
10 Illinois
2 Kentucky
15 Georgia Southern

WEST(3)-San Jose, CA
Sacramento, CA
1 UCLA
16 Texas Southern
8 Seton Hall
9 Pittsburgh
Buffalo, NY
5 Xavier
12 Oakland
4 Duke
13 Chattanooga
Indianapolis, IN
6 Clemson
11 Rhode Island/Iowa State
3 Butler
14 Belmont
Orlando, FL
7 Maryland
10 Middle Tennessee State
2 Florida State
15 Bucknell

Danger Zone
Last 10 in: Texas Tech, Illinois, TCU, VCU, South Carolina, NC State, Rhode Island, Iowa State, Texas-Arlington, Indiana
First 10 Out: Kansas State, Ole Miss, California, Nebraska, Temple, College of Charleston, Miami (FL), Wake Forest, Oklahoma State, Houston
Multiple Bid Conferences
ACC- 10
Big Ten- 8
Big 12- 6
Big East- 5
Pac-12- 4
SEC- 4
A-10- 3
AAC-2
WCC-2
Sun Belt- 2

Sunday, December 25, 2016

Bracket Projection- 12/25/16

MIDWEST(1)-Kansas City, MO
Tulsa, OK
1 Baylor
16 UC-Irvine/NC-Central
8 SMU
9 VCU
Salt Lake City, UT
5 Maryland
12 Middle Tennessee State
4 USC
13 Valparaiso
Greenville,SC
6 Notre Dame
11 UNC-Wilmington
3 Kentucky
14 IPFW
Indianapolis, IN
7 Florida State
10 Arkansas
2 Butler
15 Akron

SOUTH(4)-Memphis, TN
Sacramento, CA
1 Gonzaga
16 Nicholls State
8 Cincinnati
9 Virginia Tech
Orlando, FL
5 Purdue
12 Wichita State
4 North Carolina
13 Tennessee State
Greenville, SC
6 Oregon
11 UT-Arlington
3 Duke
14 Chattanooga
Tulsa, OK
7 Northwestern
10 Seton Hall
2 Kansas
15 Florida Gulf Coast

EAST(2)-New York, NY
Buffalo, NY
1 Villanova
16 Bucknell/Wagner
8 Pittsburgh
9 TCU
Salt Lake City, UT
5 Arizona
12 Nevada
4 Virginia
13 Monmouth
Milwaukee, WI
6 St. Mary's
11 Rhode Island
3 Indiana
14 Eastern Washington
Indianapolis, IN
7 Oklahoma State
10 Texas A&M
2 Louisville
15 Yale

WEST(3)-San Jose, CA
Sacramento, CA
1 UCLA
16 Texas Southern
8 Temple
9 Illinois
Orlando, FL
5 Xavier
12 Wake Forest/South Carolina
4 Wisconsin
13 Winthrop
Buffalo, NY
6 Florida
11 Colorado/Clemson
3 West Virginia
14 New Mexico State
Milwaukee, WI
7 Minnesota
10 Stanford
2 Creighton
15 Vermont

Danger Zone
Last 10 in: Virginia Tech, Arkansas, Seton Hall, Texas A&M, Stanford, Rhode Island, Wake Forest, Colorado, Clemson, South Carolina
First 10 Out: Providence, Michigan, Miami, FL, Arkansas State, Dayton, Ole Miss, Iowa State, Kansas State, Houston, Georgetown
Multiple Bid Conferences
ACC- 10
Big Ten- 7
Pac-12- 6
Big 12- 5
Big East- 5
SEC- 5
AAC-3
A-10- 2
WCC-2

Saturday, December 3, 2016

College Football New Year's Six Bowls Projection

With the season complete, the final rankings will be revealed tomorrow. There are a lot of questions that come into play. Will the Top 4 stay the same? Does Penn State get in over Ohio State? Does Washington or Clemson get left out? Does the Big Ten get two teams? Does Ohio State fall from 2 to 5? There are different ways to evaluate each resume. The simple solution is for the Top 4 to stay the same. Alabama dominated Florida and will be the #1 seed in the playoff. Clemson beat Virginia Tech while Washington destroyed Colorado. Ohio State was idle but with wins over Oklahoma, Wisconsin, and Michigan gives them a strong case to stay in the Top 4. Penn State has the head-to-head victory over Ohio State and won the Big Ten Championship. Their biggest con on their resume is having Two Losses. The other four teams are either undefeated or have one loss.

The committee has stressed conference championships as most important the past two seasons. Two years ago, TCU fell from 3 to 6 and was hopped by conference champion and undefeated Florida State, conference champion Ohio State, and co-Big 12 champ Baylor who they lost to. Does the same happen to Ohio State?

I believe Penn State and USC have made an argument of why the committee will consider expanding the playoff to 8 teams in the future. Its simple, teams change a lot from September to December. Some teams get better as some teams get worse. If Penn State gets in, I believe they should get in over Ohio State and not Washington or Clemson. Overall, here are my projections:

Peach Bowl: 1 Alabama vs 4 Penn State
Fiesta Bowl: 2 Clemson vs 3 Washington


Sugar Bowl: Oklahoma vs Auburn
Rose Bowl: USC vs Ohio State
Cotton Bowl: Western Michigan vs Wisconsin
Orange Bowl: Florida State vs Michigan


M+J's College Football Final Top 25 Rankings

1 Alabama
2 Ohio State
3 Washington
4 Clemson
5 Penn State
6 Michigan
7 Oklahoma
8 Wisconsin
9 USC
10 Colorado
11 Western Michigan
12 Florida State
13 Stanford
14 Oklahoma State
15 West Virginia
16 LSU
17 Iowa
18 Auburn
19 Utah
20 Pittsburgh
21 Louisville
22 Virginia Tech
23 Washington State
24 Temple
25 South Florida

Friday, December 2, 2016

Championship Week

Championship Week-Impact Games-Friday

MAC Championship-17 Western Michigan vs Ohio
This is the biggest game (so far) in Western Michigan football history. A win here almost certainly will make them the highest rank Group of 5 Champion, which will place them in a New Year's 6 Bowl. A loss will give them a 12-1 season with no New Year's Bowl and the thought of what could have been a perfect season is done.
Prediction: Western Michigan 41, Ohio 20

PAC-12 Championship- 4 Washington vs 8 Colorado
This game has major playoff implications for both teams especially Washington. If the Huskies win, they will almost definitely be in the Playoff. However, if Colorado wins, the PAC-12 winner would not be guaranteed as the Buffaloes would have to see what happens in the ACC and Big Ten Championship Games. They would also have to see if a PAC-12 Championship would override a loss to Michigan. Either way, there is a lot to play for on both sides, and it should be a fun game.
Prediction: Washington 27, Colorado 24

Championship Week-Impact Games-Saturday

AAC Championship-19 Navy vs Temple
Since Western Michigan won, Navy's chances at a New Year's 6 are probably done unless the committee values an AAC Champion with 2 losses over an undefeated MAC champion. The Owls have been strong down the stretch, but Navy's offense was unstoppable last week.
Prediction: Navy 34, Temple 28

Conference USA Championship-Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky has been the best team in the conference this season. The game will likely feature a lot of offense.
Prediction: Western Kentucky 49, Louisiana Tech 37

Big 12- 10 Oklahoma State at 9 Oklahoma
The default Big 12 Championship Game does not have Playoff implications, but it is still the Bedlam game where the winner will be crowned the Big 12 Champion. The Sooners are yet to lose in conference play and are at home.
Prediction: Oklahoma 48, Oklahoma State 41

SEC Championship-1 Alabama vs 15 Florida
Even with a loss, Alabama will likely remain in the Playoff. The Crimson Tide have been unstoppable for most of their games, so it does not seem like a loss to Florida is even possible.
Prediction: Alabama 28, Florida 7 

MWC Championship-San Diego State vs Wyoming
Without Ohio winning over Western Michigan, A Temple win over Navy would mean nothing to the MWC Champion since the winner of this game has no chance at a New Year's 6 Bowl anymore. Still the winner of this game gets a great alternative prize to play in the Las Vegas Bowl. San Diego State has looked better, but the Mountain Division which Wyoming played in was much tougher.
Prediction: San Diego State 28, Wyoming 27

ACC Championship-3 Clemson vs 23 Virginia Tech
It is a do or die game for Clemson's Playoff hopes. A win and they will very likely be in. A loss and the Playoff does not seem as likely. Clemson has had its inconsistencies at time during the season that has made some of their games unexpectedly close. Will this be another one of those games? The Hokies have their eyes on a New Year's 6 Bowl, so Justin Fuente and company would love to spoil Clemson's chances to clinch that spot.
Prediction: Virginia Tech 30, Clemson 27

Big Ten Championship-6 Wisconsin vs 7 Penn State
This could be the most interesting game of the day especially if Clemson was to lose, which would make this a likely play-in game for the Playoff. If Clemson wins, what are the chances of the winner of this game to be taken over Ohio State, which did not win the Big Ten? Penn State has looked very good down the stretch and was the only team to beat Ohio State this season. Wisconsin has looked good especially on defense all season. This is definitely the most anticipated game. 
Prediction: Penn State 21, Wisconsin 20

Tuesday, November 29, 2016

College Football Playoff Contenders- Who will make the Playoffs?

The last week of the season is here and so are conference championships. The College Football Playoff Rankings came out today. USC and Florida have been eliminated from playoff contention as Oklahoma is pretty much done as well. Here are the remaining contenders in order of best odds to worst odds. 


Alabama(12-0)
The Tide have been dominate over the course of the season and probably punched a ticket to the Playoff with their win over Auburn. The Tide will likely make the playoffs even if they lose to Florida in the SEC Championship. A victory over Florida in the SEC Championship would cement a #1 seed in the playoff. 

Best Wins: USC, Texas A&M, Tennessee, LSU, Auburn
Losses: None

Ohio State(11-1)
Ohio State find themselves in a different position. They can't win the Big Ten and have to sweat it out for a week. The Buckeyes own three great wins including last week's thriller over Michigan. Have they done enough even though they won't be the Big Ten Champs? Will the committee take four conference champions over the Buckeyes? If Clemson loses, I think Ohio State will be safe since this would eliminate the ACC's playoff chances. I could maybe see Colorado potentially hopping the Buckeyes if they beat Washington but its not likely. However, I don't see the Big 12 champ finishing ahead of Ohio State.

Best Wins: Michigan, Oklahoma, Wisconsin, Nebraska
Losses: Penn State

Washington(11-1)
The Huskies took another step towards the playoffs by winning the Apple Cup. The Pac-12 Championship against Colorado awaits. An opportunity against a playoff contender. Will a win put the Huskies in the Playoffs? A victory over the #8 team should be enough to put the Huskies in. Out of conference schedule strength doesn't help but the Pac-12 also plays 9 conference games. A loss would end their playoff hopes. 

Best Wins: Stanford, Utah, Washington State
Losses: USC

Clemson(11-1)
The Tigers demolished the Gamecocks this past weekend. The ACC Championship against Virginia Tech awaits for Clemson. A win should be enough for the Tigers to clinch a playoff berth as a loss would definitely end their playoff hopes.

Best Wins: Louisville, Auburn, Florida State
Losses: Pittsburgh

Michigan(10-2)
Losing to Ohio State has likely eliminated the Wolverines. Michigan owns one of the best trios of victories(Wisconsin, Colorado, Penn State) of any team in college football but sit at #5 in the rankings and its hard to imagine a scenario they get in even if Washington and Clemson lose, unless their head to head victories gets them in over a conference champion(s) they defeated. They will certainly be sweating it out this week.

Best Wins: Wisconsin, Colorado, Penn State
Losses: Iowa, Ohio State

Wisconsin(10-2)
The Badgers play Penn State in the Big Ten Championship. A win over Penn State will give them a chance at a playoff berth. A Clemson loss will likely put the Badgers in if they win the Big Ten Championship. A Washington loss would open the door as well. However, Colorado would also have a case for a playoff bid as well. Does a Big Ten Championship put Wisconsin in the playoffs? Could they bump Ohio State out of the playoff? Maybe, it depends how they value the Big Ten Champs against Ohio State's resume.

Best Wins: Nebraska, LSU, Iowa, Minnesota
Losses: Ohio State, Michigan

Colorado(10-2)
What a turn around in Boulder! Colorado has a chance to win the Pac-12 and is still in contention for the playoffs. Their best hope is to beat Washington and hope Clemson loses to Virginia Tech. If this happens, do they make the jump into the Top 4? Its definitely possible. Even if Clemson wins, it is also possible Colorado jumps to number 4 with a win. 

Best Wins: Stanford. Washington State, Utah
Losses: Michigan, USC

Penn State(10-2)
The Littany Lions won the Big Ten East over Ohio State and Michigan and now play Wisconsin for the Big Ten Championship. A win gives Penn State a chance at cracking the Top 4. Their best hope would be to win and for Clemson to lose as Virginia Tech has no chance to make the playoff as Washington and Colorado do. They are in the same situation as Wisconsin. Win and hope the dominoes fall your way.

Best Wins: Ohio State, Iowa, Minnesota
Losses: Michigan, Pittsburgh

Oklahoma(9-2)
Not enough chaos happened last weekend making the odds very slim for Oklahoma to get in the playoffs. 

Best Wins: West Virginia
Losses: Ohio State, Houston