Monday, March 2, 2015

Bracket Projection- 3/3/15

MIDWEST(1)-Cleveland, OH
Louisville, KY
1 Kentucky
16 Bucknell/North Florida
8 Michigan State
9 Oklahoma State
Jacksonville, FL
5 Butler
12 UCLA/Temple
4 Notre Dame
13 Harvard
Pittsburgh, PA
6 North Carolina
11 Tulsa
3 Maryland
14 Toledo
Omaha, NE
7 St. John's
10 Oregon
2 Kansas
15 William & Mary

WEST(4)-Los Angeles, CA
Pittsburgh, PA
1 Villanova
16 Sacramento State
8 Dayton
9 Ohio State
Jacksonville, FL
5 Louisville
12 Murray State
4 Arkansas
13 Valparaiso
Louisville, KY
6 Providence
11 Colorado State
3 Baylor
14 UC Davis
Portland, OR
7 Indiana
10 Cincinnati
2 Arizona
15 Albany

EAST(2)-Syracuse, NY
Charlotte, NC
1 Virginia
16 Texas Southern/St. Francis(NY)
8 Georgia
9 Iowa
Seattle, WA
5 Northern Iowa
12 Louisiana Tech
4 West Virginia
13 Stephen F. Austin
Omaha, NE
6 Georgetown
11 Boise State
3 Iowa State
14 South Dakota State
Columbus, OH
7 VCU
10 Ole Miss
2 Wisconsin
15 High Point

SOUTH(3)- Houston, TX
Charlotte, NC
1 Duke
16 NC Central
8 Xavier
9 LSU
Portland, OR
5 Wichita State
12 Wofford
4 Utah
13 Iona
Columbus, OH
6 SMU
11 Purdue/NC State
3 Oklahoma
14 Georgia State
Seattle, WA
7 San Diego State
10 Texas A&M
2 Gonzaga
15 New Mexico State

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:  Oregon, Cincinnati, Texas A&M, Colorado State, NC State, Purdue, Boise State(At-Large), UCLA, Tulsa(At-large), Temple
First 10 Out:  BYU, Davidson, Illinois, Texas, Pittsburgh, Stanford, Miami(FL), Rhode Island, Old Dominion, Richmond
- Boise State and Tulsa are on the bracket representing their conferences as the champion since they both are currently in 1st place.

Multiple Bid Conferences
Big Ten- 7
Big 12- 6
Big East- 6
ACC- 6
SEC- 6
Pac-12- 4
AAC- 4
MWC- 3
A-10- 2
MVC- 2           

Sunday, March 1, 2015

Bubble Teams Shake Up Potential Field

Bubble teams shook up things yesterday making the final two weeks much more interesting than the forecast had shown.Yesterday showed that the bubble picture was far from set as bubble teams made statements in particular BYU and Boise State. With these results, it's safe to say we are in for a thrilling two weeks as there are several teams that have a thin line

Winners

Boise State- The Broncos picked up their biggest win of the season by crunching out a win at San Diego State ending the Aztecs' 29- game home winning streak. Boise State is now 2-1 against the Top 25, 3-2 against the Top 50, and 6-4 against the Top 100. This win moves them into our projected field and also puts the Broncos in the driver's seat to win the Mountain West regular season, and they control their own destiny owning the tiebreaker over the Aztecs. Up this week for the Broncos is, at San Jose State and vs. Fresno State. Both are must win games if the Broncos want to stay on pace to dance.

BYU- The Cougars were an at-large after thought entering Saturday and picked up one of the biggest wins of the season for any team as they ended Gonzaga's 41-game home winning streak on Senior Night. This win likely does not put the cougars in the field yet, but it puts them on the cusp and will be seriously discussed as a potential at-large team. Up next for the Cougars: WCC Conference Tournament. The Cougars likely must make the finals and face Gonzaga to have a chance to receive a bid. Best case scenario is obviously to win the automatic berth.

Dayton- The Flyers were a likely tournament team entering the day and were fortunate to be facing a limping VCU team without Briante Weber. The Flyers added another great road win to their resume which is also their 3rd Top 50 win. The Flyers are in decent shape to make the field and have an opportunity to win the A-10. Up this week for the Flyers: vs. Rhode Island, at LaSalle

St. John's- The Red Storm enhanced their resume with a home win over the Georgetown Hoyas and are in good standing to dance. However, they finish their regular season on the roads this week at Marquette and at Villanova. One more win will lock the Red Storm up.

LSU- The Tigers best Ole Miss giving them their 4th Top 50 win this season. With the win, the Tigers' dancing outlook feels much better than it did a week ago. LSU cannot afford anymore questionable losses. Up this week for the Tigers: vs Tennessee, at Arkansas. A win over the Vols might enough in the long run as long as they do not pick up a bad loss in the SEC Tournament.

Georgia, Rhode Island, Cincinnati, Wofford, Old Dominion, Iowa, Davidson, Illinois, Richmond, Tulsa and Texas A&M- All of these teams won avoiding a loss they could not afford.

Losers

NC State- The Wolfpack followed a huge road win with a bad loss on the road to the Eagles of Boston College. NC State is still on the right side of the bubble but is by at no means a lock. Up this week: at Clemson, vs Syracuse. Win both and the Wolfpack should breathe easy on Selection Sunday.

Xavier- The Musketeers had a great opportunity to solidify their bid with a win over a red hot Villanova team, but instead, they stumbled at home where they have been great all year. Xavier is very likely going dancing but needs to finish strong. Up this week: at Creighton. A win will lock them up. A loss may put them in icy waters.

Miami (FL)- The Hurricanes lost at home to the Tar Heels and are reeling quickly. Miami(FL) is on the outside looking in and has a lot of work to do to get in. Up this week: at Pittsburgh, at Virginia Tech. Canes need both to get back in serious discussion.

Ole Miss- The Rebels entered the week in great shape, but a loss at home to Georgia earlier this week and now at LSU puts them closer to the cut line. Ole Miss is now in rough waters as they enter the final week of the regular season. Up this week: at Alabama, vs Vanderbilt. The Rebels need both to feel great about their chances.

Oklahoma State- The Cowboys picked up their fourth straight loss yesterday, and it was a bad one as they lost at Texas Tech. The Cowboys have plenty of good wins and are still in decent shape. But at 7-9 in the Big 12, the final week is very important. Up this week: vs TCU, at West Virginia. Win both and the Cowboys will definitely dance.

Texas: The Longhorns lost again and are now 1-12 against the Top 50 once again proving they cannot beat tournament quality teams. However, the Longhorns have NO BAD LOSSES, which will be interesting to see what the Selection Committee does if this holds. Texas is in a dangerous spot where they need good wins. Up this week: vs Kansas State, vs Baylor.

Bubbles Burst: UTEP, St. Mary's


Safety Zone
ACC: Virginia, Duke, UNC, Louisville, Notre Dame
A-10: VCU
AAC: SMU
Big East: Villanova, Butler, Providence, Georgetown
Big 12: Kansas, Iowa State, Baylor, Oklahoma, West Virginia
Big Ten: Wisconsin, Maryland
MVC: Wichita State, Northern Iowa
MWC: San Diego State
PAC-12: Arizona, Utah
SEC: Kentucky, Arkansas,
WCC: Gonzaga

Danger Zone(Safest Teams are listed 1st-However, there is a very thin line from the first team to the last team on this list)
St. John's, Indiana, Oklahoma State, Xavier, Dayton,  Iowa, LSU, Michigan State, Georgia, Ohio State, Texas A&M, Ole Miss, Cincinnati, Oregon, Colorado State, Purdue, NC State, Boise State, UCLA, Tulsa, Temple. BYU, Davidson, Pittsburgh,Texas, Stanford, Illinois, Wofford(At-Large), Old Dominion, Rhode Island, Richmond



 

Friday, February 27, 2015

Bracket Projection- 2/27/15

MIDWEST(1)-Cleveland, OH
Louisville, KY
1 Kentucky
16 Texas Southern/Bucknell
8 Ohio State
9 NC State
Jacksonville, FL
5 Butler
12 Stanford/Illinois
4 Notre Dame
13 Harvard
Omaha, NE
6 Wichita State
11 Purdue/Texas A&M
3 Iowa State
14 South Dakota State
Columbus, OH
7 Providence
10 Oregon
2 Wisconsin
15 High Point

WEST(4)-Los Angeles, CA
Seattle, WA
1 Gonzaga
16 NC Central
8 Ole Miss
9 Cincinnati
Columbus, OH
5 North Carolina
12 Wofford
4 Northern Iowa
13 Valparaiso
Louisville, KY
6 SMU
11 UCLA
3 Oklahoma
14 Central Michigan
Portland, OR
7 Xavier
10 Dayton
2 Arizona
15 New Mexico State

EAST(2)-Syracuse, NY
Charlotte, NC
1 Virginia
16 Albany/St. Francis(NY)
8 St. John's
9 Michigan State
Seattle, WA
5 Arkansas
12 Murray State
4 West Virginia
13 Louisiana Tech
Pittsburgh, PA
6 VCU
11 Colorado State
3 Maryland
14 UC Davis
Pittsburgh, PA
7 Oklahoma State
10 LSU
2 Villanova
15 Florida Gulf Coast

SOUTH(3)- Houston, TX
Charlotte, NC
1 Duke
16 Georgia Southern
8 Indiana
9 Georgia
Jacksonville, FL
5 Louisville
12 Iona
4 Baylor
13 Stephen F. Austin
Portland, OR
6 Georgetown
11 Temple
3 Utah
14 Eastern Washington
Omaha, NE
7 San Diego State
10 Iowa
2 Kansas
15 William & Mary

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:  Iowa, Oregon, LSU, Colorado State, Temple, UCLA, Purdue, Texas A&M, Stanford, Illinois
First 10 Out:  Davidson, Texas, Boise State, Pittsburgh, Tulsa, Miami(FL), Rhode Island, BYU, Old Dominion, Richmond

Multiple Bid Conferences
Big Ten- 8
Big 12- 6
Big East- 6
ACC- 6
SEC- 6
Pac-12- 5
AAC- 3
A-10- 2
MWC- 2
MVC- 2           

Thursday, February 26, 2015

Bubble Watch- 2/26/15
WEDNESDAY NIGHT:

WINNERS:

Davidson: It's amazing what a quality road win can do. The Wildcats get the win and move right at the cut line. With GW coming to town, Davidson needs to keep winning. Win the last three games of the regular season, including VCU, the Wildcats have a chance to win the A-10 regular season title in their 1st season.

Iowa: The Hawkeyes take care of business at home and add another Top 100 win to their resume. With three games remaining, if the Hawkeyes win out they will be a lock. If they beat Penn St and Northwestern and lose to Indiana, they will still be in good shape.

Cincinnati: The Bearcats did what they needed to do, beat UCF. Cincy heads to Tulane on Saturday, who they lost to once already. With quality wins on their resume, winning games against teams you should beat is important for the Bearcats who already own 3 bad losses.

Tulsa: The Golden Hurricane stay on the bubble after taking care of business against Tulane. Now the most important stretch of the season is on deck. They travel to Memphis on Saturday before finishing up at home against Cincinnati and at SMU. They need at least 2 out of 3 to stay at the cut line. 

Georgia: The Bulldogs add another marque road to their resume and appear to be good shape for now. Beat Kentucky and they will be a lock. As long as they beat Missouri and Auburn, they should be fine.

Colorado State: The Rams took care of business against San Jose State and now finish the season on the road at Nevada and at Utah State. The Rams can't afford to lose either game.

UCLA: The Bruins beat Washington last night and now face Washington State and USC. UCLA needs to win both games. Winning out and at least making it to the Pac-12 semi-finals is important for the Bruins.

Oregon: The Ducks pass their 1st test of the three remaining road games taking care of Cal. The Ducks play the Cardinal on Sunday. If the Ducks can win at least one of the remaining two games and at least make it to Pac-12 semi-finals, they should be in good position. A trip to to the Pac-12 championship game will definitely lock the Ducks in.

Miami(FL): The Canes hang on the bubble after beating Florida State last night. A big chance against North Carolina this weekend is a must win for the Canes, if they want to reach the cut line. Canes finish with 2 road games(at Pitt, at VA Tech).


LOSERS:

Rhode Island: Tough loss for the Rams who still remain tied in 1st place. The Rams needed another marque victory and lost by one point. The Rams likely need to win out and make a run in the conference tourney to have a chance.

Illinois: The Illini lost to the Hawkeyes for their 11th loss of the season. They get Nebraska and Northwestern at home which are must wins for the Illini. A trip to Purdue awaits after that.

Massachusetts: The minutemen pick up a bad home loss and now likely have to win the A-10 conference tournament to make the tourney.

BUBBLE TEAMS IN ACTION TONIGHT:

Temple(19-9, 10-5)- Currently in the field

The Owls host Houston tonight in a game the Owls need to win stay ahead of the cut line. Temple then travels to East Carolina before hosting UConn. The Owls need to win all three games and need make a run in the conference tourney to lock up a bid.

Purdue(18-9, 10-4)- Currently in the Last 4 In

Purdue hosts Rutgers tonight before traveling to Ohio State and Michigan State. The Boilermakers then finish with Illinois at home. The opportunities are there. Win the home games and steal one on the road and Purdue will be in good shape entering the conference tourney.

BYU(21-8, 11-5)- Outside looking in

The Cougars play at Portland tonight before playing at Gonzaga on Saturday. Both games are must wins for the Cougars to stay in the mix. If BYU loses, they will likely need to win the conference tourney to make the NCAA tournament.

Stanford(17-9, 8-6)- 1st Team Out

The Cardinal host Oregon State tonight before a showdown with Oregon on Sunday. The Cardinal then finish at Arizona State and Arizona. If they can at least beat Oregon State, Oregon, and Arizona State, they will be in the mix heading to the PAC-12 tournament. Win the last 4 games, and they will be good shape. The Cardinal can't afford to go 2-2.

Wednesday, February 25, 2015

Bubble Watch- 2/25/15

TONIGHT'S BUBBLE TEAMS IN ACTION:

Rhode Island(19-6, 11-3) vs. Davidson(19-6, 10-4)- Both teams are currently on the outside looking in.

A win for Rhode Island will give them another Top 100 win and will keep them tied at the top of the A-10 with VCU. They will still be on the outside looking in, but will move closer to the cut line. The Rams need to keeping winning if they want an at large bid. Remaining games at LaSalle, at Dayton, and home against St. Joe's. The game at Dayton is a great chance for a marque road win.

A win for Davidson will give them a road win over a Top 100 team and move them closer to the cut line. Like the Rams, the Wildcats need to keep winning. Any losses at this point will hurt their chances. The Wildcats end with GW and VCU at home, before finishing up at Duquesne. If they can win out the remainder of the regular season and win a couple of games in the conference tourney, the odds look good for Davidson.

Iowa(17-10, 8-6) vs Illinois(17-10, 7-7)- Both teams are currently in the field

Win for Iowa will give them another quality Top 100 win and keep them ahead of the play-in games with 3 games remaining before the conference tournament(@PSU, @IND, vs NW) If Iowa can finish at least 10-8 in the Big Ten and win at least one game in the Big Ten Tournament, they will likely be a lock for the tourney. Pretty much win 20 games and they should be safe.

Win for Illinois will give them a quality road win and keep them in the field. The Illini end the season with Northwestern and Nebraska at home and at Purdue. The home games are must wins.  They likely need to steal one on the road against either Iowa or Purdue and take of business at home and avoid a bad loss in the conference tourney.

Cincinnati(18-9, 9-5)- Currently in the field

Cincinnati hosts UCF tonight in a must win for the Bearcats. At this point the Bearcats need to keep winning and avoid bad losses. With 5 RPI Top 50 Wins, including a sweep of SMU, SDSU, at NC State, and Temple, the Bearcats have great wins. With bad losses to East Carolina, Tulane, and Nebraska, the Bearcats need to at least win the games they should. They need to take care of business against UCF, Tulane, and Memphis. If the Bearcats can win out the remaining games including at Tulsa and avoid bad losses in the AAC tourney, they will be in the tournament.

Tulsa(19-7, 12-2)- Outside looking in

Tulsa hosts Tulane tonight in a must win game for the Golden Hurricane. Tulsa ends the season at Memphis, at home against Cincinnati, and at SMU. The opportunities are there for Tulsa. This is pretty much a make it or break it stretch. They need to at least beat Cincinnati at home as well as beat Tulane and Memphis to stay in the hunt. If they can win out, they will win the league and up their odds to make the field.

Georgia(17-9, 8-6)- Currently in the field

Georgia plays at Ole Miss tonight. Georgia is currently in the field, but also finishes with a stretch of games that could seal their fate. After tonight, they host Missouri and Kentucky and end the season at Auburn. At worst, Georgia needs to beat Missouri and Auburn. If they can also beat Ole Miss or Kentucky they should be fine as long as they avoid bad losses.

Colorado State(23-5, 10-5)- Currently in the field

The Rams play San Jose State tonight and then end the season at Nevada and at Utah State. They need to win the three remaining games and avoid bad losses in the conference tourney. Avoid bad losses and a run in the conference tourney will likely lock the Rams in.

UCLA(16-12, 8-7)- Currently in the Last 4 In

The Bruins host Washington tonight before ending with Washington State and USC at home. The Bruins need to win these three games. Avoiding bad losses and winning games is all the Bruins need to do. If the Bruins end up in the 4/5 spot, a win in this game will likely be enough. 20 wins should be the magic number.

Oregon(20-8, 10-5)- Currently in the field

The Ducks visit Cal tonight. They end the season at Stanford and at Oregon State. With 3 road games remaining, the Ducks cannot afford to lose all three games. If the Ducks can at least beat Cal and Oregon State, make it to the Pac-12 Semi-finals, they will be in great position to make the tournament.

Miami(FL) (17-10, 7-7)- Outside looking in

The Hurricanes host Florida State tonight in a must win for the Canes. They finish up with North Carolina at home and at Pittsburgh and at Virginia Tech. At worst, Miami(FL) needs to win 3 out of 4 with the lone loss either being to Pitt or UNC to stay in the hunt. A run in the ACC tourney will likely be needed for the Canes. They need to avoid bad losses and win games.

Massachusetts(16-11, 9-5)- Outside looking in

The minutemen hosts St. Joe's tonight. UMass needs to keep winning if they want to chance a make it. Any more regular season losses will likely end at-large hopes. With Fordham and Richmond at home before ending at George Washington, the Minutemen need to win out and make a run in the A-10 conference tourney.








Tuesday, February 24, 2015

Bracket Projection- 2/24/15

MIDWEST(1)-Cleveland, OH
Louisville, KY
1 Kentucky
16 Texas Southern/Bucknell
8 Oklahoma State
9 Ohio State
Jacksonville, FL
5 West Virginia
12 Purdue/Texas A&M
4 North Carolina
13 Harvard
Omaha, NE
6 Wichita State
11 UCLA/NC State
3 Iowa State
14 UC Davis
Columbus, OH
7 San Diego State
10 Texas
2 Wisconsin
15 High Point

WEST(4)-Los Angeles, CA
Seattle, WA
1 Gonzaga
16 New Mexico State
8 Ole Miss
9 Cincinnati
Jacksonville, FL
5 Butler
12 Wofford
4 Northern Iowa
13 UTEP
Columbus, OH
6 Georgetown
11 Illinois
3 Notre Dame
14 Toledo
Portland, OR
7 Indiana
10 Colorado State
2 Arizona
15 Northeastern

EAST(2)-Syracuse, NY
Charlotte, NC
1 Virginia
16 Albany/St. Francis(NY)
8 St. John's
9 Dayton
Seattle, WA
5 Arkansas
12 Murray State
4 Baylor
13 Stephen F. Austin
Pittsburgh, PA
6 Louisville
11 Georgia
3 Maryland
14 Georgia State
Pittsburgh, PA
7 SMU
10 Iowa
2 Villanova
15 Florida Gulf Coast

SOUTH(3)- Houston, TX
Charlotte, NC
1 Duke
16 NC Central
8 Xavier
9 LSU
Louisville, KY
5 VCU
12 Iona
4 Oklahoma
13 Valparaiso
Portland, OR
6 Providence
11 Temple
3 Utah
14 Eastern Washington
Omaha, NE
7 Michigan State
10 Oregon
2 Kansas
15 South Dakota State

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:  Oregon, Iowa, Texas, Georgia, Temple, Illinois, UCLA, NC State, Purdue, Texas A&M
First 10 Out:  Stanford, Boise State, Miami(FL), Pittsburgh, Tulsa, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, Davidson, Old Dominion, BYU

Multiple Bid Conferences
Big Ten- 8
Big 12- 7
Big East- 6
ACC- 6
SEC- 6
Pac-12- 4
AAC- 3
A-10- 2
MWC- 2
MVC- 2            

Friday, February 20, 2015

Bracket Projection- 2/20/15

MIDWEST(1)-Cleveland, OH
Louisville, KY
1 Kentucky
16 Texas Southern/Bucknell
8 Michigan State
9 St. John's
Jacksonville, FL
5 Northern Iowa
12 Wofford
4 North Carolina
13 Harvard
Omaha, NE
6 Georgetown
11 Stanford/NC State
3 Iowa State
14 NC Central
Columbus, OH
7 San Diego State
10 LSU
2 Wisconsin
15 High Point

WEST(4)-Los Angeles, CA
Seattle, WA
1 Gonzaga
16 New Mexico State
8 Ole Miss
9 Illinois
Jacksonville, FL
5 Louisville
12 Purdue/Texas A&M
4 Oklahoma
13 Central Michigan
Columbus, OH
6 Wichita State
11 Georgia
3 Notre Dame
14 Louisiana Tech
Portland, OR
7 Oklahoma State
10 Temple
2 Arizona
15 UL Monroe

EAST(2)-Syracuse, NY
Charlotte, NC
1 Virginia
16 Albany/St. Francis(NY)
8 Dayton
9 Xavier
Seattle, WA
5 Arkansas
12 Murray State
4 Baylor
13 Eastern Washington
Pittsburgh, PA
6 SMU
11 UCLA
3 Maryland
14 Stephen F. Austin
Pittsburgh, PA
7 West Virginia
10 Colorado State
2 Villanova
15 Florida Gulf Coast

SOUTH(3)- Houston, TX
Charlotte, NC
1 Duke
16 Northeastern
8 Ohio State
9 Texas
Louisville, KY
5 VCU
12 Iona
4 Butler
13 Valparaiso
Portland, OR
6 Providence
11 Iowa
3 Utah
14 UC Davis
Omaha, NE
7 Indiana
10 Cincinnati
2 Kansas
15 South Dakota State

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:  Temple, Cincinnati, LSU, UCLA, Georgia, Iowa, Stanford, NC State, Purdue, Texas A&M
First 10 Out:  Oregon, Boise State, Miami(FL), Tulsa, Rhode Island, Pittsburgh, Massachusetts, Davidson, Old Dominion, BYU

Multiple Bid Conferences
Big Ten- 8
Big 12- 7
Big East- 6
ACC- 6
SEC- 6
Pac-12- 4
AAC- 3
A-10- 2
MWC- 2
MVC- 2