Monday, December 28, 2015

Bracket Projection- 12/29

Bracket Projection- 12/29/15 

SOUTH(1)-Louisville, KY
St. Louis, MO
1 Michigan State
16 Hampton/Wagner
8 Texas
9 Monmouth
Spokane, WA
5 West Virginia
12 Notre Dame
4 Texas A&M
13 Hawaii
OK City, OK
6 George Washington
11 UNLV
3 Miami (FL)
14 William and Mary
Brooklyn, NY
7 South Carolina
10 Colorado
2 Providence
15 Stony Brook

WEST(4)-Anaheim, CA
OK City, OK
1 Kansas
16 UNC-Ashville
8 Iowa
9 USC
Brooklyn, NY
5 Dayton
12 Syracuse vs N Iowa
4 Kentucky
13 Louisiana Tech
Denver, CO
6 Duke
11 Valparaiso
3 Arizona
14 Texas AM-CC
St. Louis, MO
7 Pittsburgh
10 Gonzaga
2 Butler
15 North Florida

MIDWEST(2)-Chicago, IL
Ok City, OK
1 Oklahoma
16 Idaho
8 Vanderbilt
9 Cincinnati
Des Moines, IA
5 Louisville
12 Wichita State
4 Villanova
13 Richmond vs Indiana
Denver, CO
6 UCLA
11 Chattanooga
3 Purdue
14 Kent State
Raleigh, NC
7 Oregon
10 Seton Hall
2 UNC
15 Army

EAST(3)- Philadelphia, PA
Raleigh, NC
1 Xavier
16 UMKC vs Southern
8 Alabama
9 Texas Tech
Spokane, WA
5 Utah
12 Ark- Little Rock
4 Iowa State
13 South Dakota State
Providence, RI
6 Florida
11 Wake Forest
3 Maryland
14 Belmont
Providence, RI
7 Arizona State
10 Baylor
2 Virginia
15 Harvard

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:   Texas Tech, Baylor, Colorado, Seton Hall, Wake Forest, Notre Dame, Indiana, Syracuse, Richmond, Northern Iowa
First 12 Out: Connecticut, Marquette,  UT-Arlington, Kansas State, Oregon State, St. Mary's, California, Davidson, Northwestern, Michigan, St. Joseph's,  Boise State
Multiple Bid Conferences
ACC- 9
Big 12- 7
Pac-12-7
SEC- 6
Big East- 5
Big Ten- 5
A-10- 3
MVC- 2   

Thursday, December 3, 2015

1 Month In and Many Early Season Surprises

College basketball has began with many early season surprises and upsets including:

Northern Iowa over North Carolina
George Washington over Virginia
Monmouth over UCLA, Notre Dame, and USC
UT Arlington over Ohio State and Memphis
Arkansas-Little Rock over San Diego State and Tulsa
Northeastern over Miami (FL)
Chattanooga over Georgia and Illinois
AND MANY OTHERS ANS THAT IS JUST THE 1ST MONTH OF THE SEASON.

This season each team take on a journey when anyone could beat anyone on any given night as shown above that anything can happen.

Early Season Surprises:(Some of these teams were expected to be pretty good)

Arkansas- Little Rock- The Trojans are undefeated and have victories at Tulsa and San Diego State. Looking like a potential favorite in the Sun Belt that could be dangerous in March or maybe the Sun Belt rep will be...

UT-Arlington- The Mavs have also bee impressive so far with wins at Memphis and Ohio State.Now, Memphis and Ohio State have not started too well especially Ohio State. The Mavs like their Sun Belt competitor have shown that this team should not be thought lightly of as well. Considering, they have only lost to Texas and ...

Louisiana Tech- The Bulldogs own victories at Ohio State and UT Arlington and only loss is to Memphis

Northeastern- The Huskies scored a big road win at Miami (FL). The same team that dominated Utah and Butler. If this one did not shock you then,

Northern Iowa- Maybe the Panthers victory over UNC did. It was at home and UNC was without Marcus Paige, but it is still a huge win that could help the Panthers get into the tourney. And speaking of Top 10 ACC teams losing, what about...

George Washington- The Colonials upset Virginia giving them a marquee win. GW was a preseason bubble team to start the year. If they lie on the bubble come March, this win over Virginia may push them in.

Monmouth- The Hawks could be the biggest surprise this season after playing in NEC only a few seasons ago. The Hawks are now in the MAAC where they have shown they could be the team to beat there with wins at UCLA, against Notre Dame, and USC.

Chattanooga- The Mocs own victories at Georgia and Illinois and have shown that they are the favorites in the SoCon who could potential be dangerous in March.

Others of Note:

North Florida over Illinois
Sacramento State over Arizona State
Western Illinois over Wisconsin
Radford over Georgetown and Penn State
Hofstra over Florida State
William and Mary over NC State
Valparaiso over Oregon State
Charleston over LSU

Biggest Disappointments:

Wichita State- The Shockers were a Top-10 team to start the season and are off to a 2-4 start. This is largely due to the fact Fred Van Fleet has been out, which is scary in many ways. Once Van Fleet gets healthy, a Top-10 caliber team could emerge but may have to win its conference tournament to get in, which could be bad news for the team that draws them in the Round of 64.

LSU- The Tigers have already lost 3 games. They are a young team that is expected to improve as the season moves on but have not looked like a Top 25 team yet.

Illinois- The Illini are 3-5 in what is looking like it will be John Groce's final season if the same performance continues.

Ranking the Top 12 Conferences
1. Big 12
2. Big East
3. ACC
4. Big Ten
5. Pac- 12
6. SEC
7. AAC
8. A-10
9. MWC
10. MVC
11. WCC
12. Conference USA

Games to Watch This Weekend:

Friday
Kansas State at Georgia
Northern Illinois at Missouri
Oregon at UNLV

Saturday
Grand Canyon at Louisville
Temple at Wisconsin
Syracuse at Georgetown
North Florida at Dayton
William and Mary at Virginia
Princeton at Stony Brook
New Mexico at Purdue
Arizona at Gonzaga
Ole Miss vs UMass
Northern Iowa at Richmond
Providence at URI
Morehead State at Indiana
UT Arlington at UTEP
Wichita State at St. Louis
Texas A&M at Arizona State






Thursday, November 12, 2015

Bracket Projection -11/12/15

Bracket Projection- 11/12/15 (Preseason)

SOUTH(1)-Louisville, KY
Raleigh, NC
1 UNC
16 Hampton/High Point
8 Dayton
9 Michigan
Providence, RI
5 Connecticut
12 Valparaiso
4 Indiana
13 Iona
OK City, OK
6 Vanderbilt
11 Oregon State
3 Oklahoma
14 Yale
Providence, RI
7 Texas A&M
10 Louisville
2 Villanova
15 Chattanooga

WEST(4)-Anaheim, CA
OK City, OK
1 Kansas
16 Texas Southern
8 Miami (FL)
9 Rhode Island
Des Moines, IA
5 Butler
12 UNLV vs N Iowa
4 Michigan State
13 Belmont
Denver, CO
6 Baylor
11 BYU
3 Arizona
14 Georgia State
Spokane, WA
7 San Diego State
10 Xavier
2 Gonzaga
15 Eastern Washington

MIDWEST(2)-Chicago, IL
St, Louis, MO
1 Kentucky
16 Robert Morris/Lehigh
8 Cincinnati
9 West Virginia
Denver, CO
5 Wisconsin
12 Stephen F. Austin
4 Utah
13 UC Irvine
St. Louis, MO
6 Oregon
11 Providence/Davidson
3 Iowa State
14 Northeastern
Raleigh, NC
7 Georgetown
10 Boise State
2 Virginia
15 New Mexico State

EAST(3)- Philadelphia, PA
Brooklyn, NY
1 Maryland
16 Stony Brook
8 Notre Dame
9 UCLA
Des Moines, IA
5 LSU
12 UAB
4 Wichita State
13 Central Michigan
Spokane, WA
6 Purdue
11 NC State
3 California
14 South Dakota State
Brooklyn, NY
7 Texas
10 VCU
2 Duke
15 North Florida

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:   Louisville, Boise State, VCU, NC State, Oregon State, BYU, Providence, Davidson, UNLV, Northern Iowa
First 16 Out: Syracuse, Iowa, Old Dominion, Marquette, Georgia, Ohio State, Arizona State, Tulsa, Evansville, George Washington, Florida, Florida State, Temple, Memphis, Pittsburgh, South Carolina
(Many Others Considered) 

Multiple Bid Conferences
ACC- 7
Big Ten- 6
Big 12- 6
Big East- 6
Pac-12-6
SEC- 4
A-10- 4
AAC- 3
MVC- 2   
MWC- 2
WCC- 2

Sunday, March 15, 2015

2015 Final

Bracket Projection- 3/15/15

MIDWEST(1)-Cleveland, OH
Louisville, KY
Kentucky
16 Robert Morris/Hampton
8 Ohio State
9 NC State
Seattle, WA
5 Louisville
12 Stephen F. Austin
4 West Virginia
13 Harvard
Columbus, OH
6 Wichita State
11 Temple/Indiana
3 Notre Dame
14 Albany
Omaha, NE
7 Michigan State
10 Colorado State
2 Kansas
15 UAB

WEST(4)-Los Angeles, CA
Omaha, NE
1 Wisconsin
16 Coastal Carolina
8 St. John's
9 Dayton
Columbus, OH
5 Georgetown
12 Buffalo
4 Oklahoma
13 Valparaiso
Jacksonville, FL
6 SMU
11 Boise State/BYU
3 Baylor
14 New Mexico State
Portland, OR
7 Xavier
10 Oklahoma State
Arizona
15 Texas Southern

EAST(2)-Syracuse, NY
Pittsburgh, PA
1 Villanova
16 Lafayette
8 Oregon
9 Cincinnati
Jacksonville, FL
5 Arkansas
12 Wofford
4 UNC
13 Georgia State
Pittsburgh, PA
6 Providence
11 Georgia
3 Maryland
14 Northeastern
Charlotte, NC
7 Butler
10 Purdue
2 Virginia
15 Belmont

SOUTH(3)- Houston, TX
Charlotte, NC
1 Duke
16 North Florida/Manhattan
8 Iowa
9 Davidson
Portland, OR
5 Utah
12 Wyoming
Northern Iowa
13 Eastern Washington
Louisville, KY
6 VCU
11 LSU
3 Iowa State
14 UC Irvine
Seattle, WA
7 San Diego State
10 Texas
Gonzaga
15 North Dakota State

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:   Oklahoma State, Colorado State, Texas, Purdue, Georgia, LSU, BYU, Indiana, Temple, Boise State 
First 13 Out:  Ole Miss, UCLA, Miami (FL), Richmond, Murray State, Tulsa, Old Dominion, Iona, Green Bay, Stanford, Illinois, Connecticut, Texas A&M

Multiple Bid Conferences
Big Ten- 7
Big 12- 7
Big East- 6
ACC- 6
SEC- 5
MWC- 4
Pac-12- 3
AAC- 3
A-10- 3
MVC- 2   
WCC- 2

Bubble Forecast- Morning of Selection Sunday

Safety Zone
ACC: Virginia, Duke, UNC, Louisville, Notre Dame, NC State
A-10: VCU, Dayton, Davidson
AAC: SMU, Cincinnati
Big East: Villanova, Butler, Providence, Georgetown, St. John's, Xavier
Big 12: Kansas, Iowa State, Baylor, Oklahoma, West Virginia
Big Ten: Wisconsin, Maryland, Iowa, Ohio State, Michigan State
MVC: Wichita State, Northern Iowa
MWC: San Diego State, Wyoming
PAC-12: Arizona, Utah, Oregon
SEC: Kentucky, Arkansas
WCC: Gonzaga

Danger Zone- These Teams Could Go Either Way
Colorado State, Oklahoma State, Georgia, Texas
Purdue, LSU, Boise State, Indiana,Temple, BYU, UCLA, Ole Miss, Miami (FL),Old Dominion, Tulsa, Richmond

Others of Note: Texas A&M, Murray State, Iona, Green Bay, Stanford, Rhode Island, Connecticut

Colorado State- The Rams are likely in, but there is a chance the committee could leave them out. With only 2 Top 50 wins and 5 Top 100 with none coming against the Top 25 and an SOS of 110, it is possible. Their positives are a Top 30 RPI and only won bad loss, which are things other bubblers can't say.

Oklahoma State- The Cowboys are pretty much a shoe in to make the dance. Their 17-13 D1 record
 and RPI of 49 makes us a little cautious of putting them in the safe zone, but with 6 Top 50 wins, they should be in.

Georgia- The Bulldogs were sitting good until fellow SEC bubblers began to slide giving Georgia 0 Top 50 wins with their best wins a sweep of Ole Miss. 8-9 record against the Top 100 with 2 bad losses could also help doom the Bulldogs. The best thing is their Top 40 RPI, which might be the main thing that gets them in. Georgia is in very interesting position.

Texas- The Longhorns have no bad losses, but are 3-12 against the Top 50 and 6-13 against the Top 100. With an RPI of 42 and no bad losses, Texas will probably make it.

Purdue- The Boilermakers have 4 Top 50 wins (BYU, Ohio State, NC State, and Iowa) and are 9-8 against the Top 100, but none that really stand out. Purdue also has an RPI of 53, 4 bad losses, and a NSOS of 212. When you dissect this resume, you realize how close to the cut line they really could be.

LSU- The Tigers have the strangest resumes of all bubble teams. 3-2 vs Top 50 and 12-5 vs Top 100 with great wins at West Virginia and at Arkansas. However, they have an RPI of 56 and feature 5 Sub 100 losses with 2 being over 200. Other potential trouble is their NSOS of 174. Their fate will depend on if the selection committee likes their record vs the Top 100 over their 5 bad losses.

Boise State- The Broncos allowed Wyoming to steal a bid and put themselves in a bad spot.3-3 vs Top 50 and 4-5 vs Top 100 with 3 bad losses and an RPI of 41 puts them in a dangerous spot. Will their regular season MWC Championship be valued as well as their sweep of San Diego State? It's going to be close.

Indiana- The Hoosiers have an RPI of 60 and are 4-7 against the Top 50 (Maryland, SMU, Butler, Ohio State). They are 8-12 vs Top 100 with one bad loss. Great Wins, but a bad RPI, road/neutral record (5-9), bad NSOS of 115, and nothing to show for during the second half of the season. If they get in, it will be their wins out of conference vs, SMU and Butler that get them in.

Temple- The Owls beat down of Kansas has carried them this far. Their only other Top 50 win came against Cincy. 2 bad losses doesn't help either, but all other 8 losses are in the Top 50. The RPI of 34 helps, but the Kansas win may be their saving grace. Ultimately, the committee's opinion of the AAC could be the deciding factor.

BYU- The Cougars won at Gonzaga and have nothing else in the Top 50 to show for. They are only 4-4 vs Top 100 with 3 bad losses. Their good RPI, road record, NSOS, and win at Gonzga are their positives. Lack of good wins and multiple bad losses have put the Cougars in trouble. BYU fans will be nervous all day today.

UCLA- The Bruins may be the most impressive team on this list down the stretch especially by playing Arizona to the end twice. Bad thing for UCLA is their 4-11 Road/Neutral record and their 5-10 record vs 100 does not look well. They did beat Utah and Oregon, played a NSOS of 52, and looked very impressive against Arizona. If the Bruins get in, the eye test played a role.

Ole Miss- The Rebels collapsed down the stretch and are in bad shape. They have great wins away from home (at Arkansas, at Oregon, N-Cincinnati), but are 3-5 against the Top 50 and have 4 sub-100 home losses. With an RPI of 55, their road wins, road/neutral record, close game at Kentucky, and NSOS are what is in their favor. Their quantity of home losses especially bad ones is not as well as quantity of good wins in general. This will be an interesting case today.

Miami (FL)- The Hurricanes have the only win at Duke this season, which could carry them in the field. Howver, an RPI of 65, 4 Sub-100 losses, 6-8 vs Top 100, and a NSOS of 193 do not favor Miami (FL). There is a chance, but it will ultimately depend on the value of this season's only win at Duke.

Old Dominion- With 5 bad losses and 1 Top 50 win, it will likely be a longshot. Their 6-2 mark vs Top 100, their NSOS (49), and RPI of 46 are their strengths. It just doesn't seem like it will happen.

Tulsa- The Golden Hurricane's sweep over Temple remains their only Top 50 wins. Tulsa also has a D2 loss at home that does not appear on their RPI. There really isn't anything great on their resume that is showing they are worthy...Maybe their AAC conference record and R/N record of 10-5. The odds are not on their side.

Richmond- The Spiders fell short of their 3rd win over VCU and having a chance at another Top 50 win. With an RPI of 57, 3 Sub 100 losses, and a 7-10 mark vs Top 100, it's probably not going to be the right side of the bubble. However, a NSOS of 32 and 2 Top 25 wins give them a glimmer of hope.




Saturday, March 14, 2015

Bracket Projection- 3/14/15

MIDWEST(1)-Cleveland, OH
Louisville, KY
1 Kentucky
16 Robert Morris/Manhattan
8 Ohio State
9 NC State
Jacksonville, FL
5 Georgetown
12 Boise State/BYU
4 UNC
13 Yale
Pittsburgh, PA
6 Butler
11 LSU
3 Maryland
14 Northeastern
Omaha, NE
7 San Diego State
10 Georgia
2 Kansas
15 UAB

WEST(4)-Los Angeles, CA
Charlotte, NC
1 Virginia
16 Coastal Carolina
8 St. John's
9 Cincinnati
Seattle, WA
5 Arkansas
12 Stephen F. Austin
4 West Virginia
13 Georgia State
Jacksonville, FL
6 Providence
11 Indiana
3 Baylor
14 UC Irvine
Portland, OR
7 VCU
10 Oklahoma State
2 Arizona
15 Texas Southern

EAST(2)-Syracuse, NY
Pittsburgh, PA
1 Villanova
16 Lafayette
8 Iowa
9 Davidson
Columbus, OH
5 Louisville
12 Wofford
4 Oklahoma
13 Central Michigan
Columbus, OH
6 Wichita State
11 Temple/UCLA
3 Notre Dame
14 Albany
Omaha, NE
7 Xavier
10 Texas
2 Wisconsin
15 Belmont

SOUTH(3)- Houston, TX
Charlotte, NC
1 Duke
16 North Florida/Delaware State
8 Michigan State
9 Dayton
Portland, OR
5 Utah
12 Valparaiso
Northern Iowa
13 Eastern Washington
Louisville, KY
6 SMU
11 Purdue
3 Iowa State
14 North Dakota State
Seattle, WA
7 Oregon
10 Colorado State
Gonzaga
15 New Mexico State

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:   Oklahoma State, Texas, Colorado State, LSU, Indiana, Purdue, Boise State, Temple, BYUUCLA 
First 12 Out:  Ole Miss, Miami (FL), Tulsa, Richmond, Old Dominion,  Stanford, Rhode Island, Texas A&M, Buffalo, Iona, Illinois, Murray State

Multiple Bid Conferences
Big Ten- 7
Big 12- 7
Big East- 6
ACC- 6
SEC- 4
Pac-12- 4
AAC- 3
MWC- 3
A-10- 3
MVC- 2   
WCC- 2

Friday, March 13, 2015

Bracket Projection- 3/13/15

MIDWEST(1)-Cleveland, OH
Louisville, KY
1 Kentucky
16 Robert Morris/Manhattan
8 Ohio State
9 NC State
Seattle, WA
5 Georgetown
12 Stephen F. Austin
4 UNC
13 Valparaiso
Pittsburgh, PA
6 Louisville
11 Texas
3 Maryland
14 Northeastern
Omaha, NE
7 Michigan State
10 Dayton
2 Kansas
15 NC Central

WEST(4)-Los Angeles, CA
Pittsburgh, PA
1 Villanova
16 Lafayette
8 Oregon
9 Cincinnati
Jacksonville, FL
5 Arkansas
12 Indiana/Temple
4 Notre Dame
13 Yale
Jacksonville, FL
6 Providence
11 Purdue
3 Baylor
14 Eastern Washington
Portland, OR
7 Iowa
10 Colorado State
2 Arizona
15 Albany

EAST(2)-Syracuse, NY
Charlotte, NC
1 Virginia
16 Coastal Carolina/North Florida
8 St. John's
9 Davidson
Columbus, OH
5 Butler
12 Wofford
4 West Virginia
13 Central Michigan
Louisville, KY
6 Wichita State
11 Boise State
3 Oklahoma
14 Georgia State
Omaha, NE
7 VCU
10 LSU
2 Wisconsin
15 Belmont

SOUTH(3)- Houston, TX
Charlotte, NC
1 Duke
16 TX Southern
8 Xavier
9 Georgia
Portland, OR
5 Utah
12 Louisiana Tech
4 Northern Iowa
13 UC-Davis
Columbus, OH
6 SMU
11 UCLA/Ole Miss
3 Iowa State
14 North Dakota State
Seattle, WA
7 San Diego State
10 Oklahoma State
Gonzaga
15 New Mexico State

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:   Oklahoma State, Colorado State, LSU, Texas, Boise State, Purdue,Ole Miss, Indiana, Temple, UCLA 
First 11 Out:  BYU, Miami (FL), Tulsa, Richmond, Old Dominion, Texas A&M, Illinois, Stanford, Iona, Green Bay, Murray State

Multiple Bid Conferences
Big Ten- 7
Big 12- 7
Big East- 6
ACC- 6
SEC- 5
Pac-12- 4
AAC- 3
MWC- 3
A-10- 3
MVC- 2   

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

Bracket Projection- 3/11/15

MIDWEST(1)-Cleveland, OH
Louisville, KY
1 Kentucky
16 Robert Morris/Manhattan
8 Ohio State
9 NC State
Seattle, WA
5 Georgetown
12 Stephen F. Austin
4 Louisville
13 Yale
Pittsburgh, PA
6 North Carolina
11 Texas
3 Maryland
14 Northeastern
Omaha, NE
7 Iowa
10 Davidson
2 Kansas
15 Albany

WEST(4)-Los Angeles, CA
Pittsburgh, PA
1 Villanova
16 Coastal Carolina
8 Oregon
9 Cincinnati
Jacksonville, FL
5 Arkansas
12 Indiana/UCLA
Northern Iowa
13 Central Michigan
Columbus, OH
6 SMU
11 Boise State
3 Notre Dame
14 Georgia State
Portland, OR
7 St. John's
10 Ole Miss
2 Arizona
15 NC Central

EAST(2)-Syracuse, NY
Charlotte, NC
1 Virginia
16 Lafayette/North Florida
8 Xavier
9 Georgia
Jacksonville, FL
5 Butler
12 Wofford
4 Baylor
13 Valparaiso
Louisville, KY
6 Wichita State
11 Colorado State
3 Oklahoma
14 North Dakota State
Omaha, NE
7 VCU
10 Oklahoma State
2 Wisconsin
15 Belmont

SOUTH(3)- Houston, TX
Charlotte, NC
1 Duke
16 TX Southern
8 Michigan State
9 Dayton
Portland, OR
5 Utah
12 Louisiana Tech
4 West Virginia
13 UC-Davis
Columbus, OH
6 Providence
11 Purdue/Temple
3 Iowa State
14 Eastern Washington
Seattle, WA
7 San Diego State
10 LSU
2 Gonzaga
15 New Mexico State

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:   LSU, Davidson, Ole Miss, Texas, Colorado State, Boise State, Purdue, Indiana, Temple, UCLA 
First 10 Out:  BYU, Texas A&M, Illinois, Tulsa, Miami (FL), Old Dominion, Richmond, Stanford, Iona, Green Bay

Multiple Bid Conferences
Big Ten- 7
Big 12- 7
Big East- 6
ACC- 6
SEC- 5
Pac-12- 4
AAC- 3
MWC- 3
A-10- 3
MVC- 2   

Tuesday, March 10, 2015

Bracket Projection- 3/10/15

MIDWEST(1)-Cleveland, OH
Louisville, KY
1 Kentucky
16 Coastal Carolina/Manhattan
8 Ohio State
9 NC State
Seattle, WA
5 Georgetown
12 Stephen F. Austin
4 Louisville
13 Yale
Pittsburgh, PA
6 North Carolina
11 Texas
3 Maryland
14 Northeastern
Omaha, NE
7 Iowa
10 Davidson
2 Kansas
15 Albany

WEST(4)-Los Angeles, CA
Pittsburgh, PA
1 Villanova
16 St. Francis (NY)
8 Oregon
9 Cincinnati
Jacksonville, FL
5 Arkansas
12 Indiana/UCLA
4 Northern Iowa
13 Central Michigan
Columbus, OH
6 SMU
11 Boise State
3 Notre Dame
14 Georgia State
Portland, OR
7 St. John's
10 Ole Miss
2 Arizona
15 NC Central

EAST(2)-Syracuse, NY
Charlotte, NC
1 Virginia
16 Lafayette/North Florida
8 Xavier
9 Georgia
Jacksonville, FL
5 Butler
12 Wofford
4 Baylor
13 Valparaiso
Louisville, KY
6 Wichita State
11 Colorado State
3 Oklahoma
14 South Dakota State
Omaha, NE
7 VCU
10 Oklahoma State
2 Wisconsin
15 Belmont

SOUTH(3)- Houston, TX
Charlotte, NC
1 Duke
16 TX Southern
8 Michigan State
9 Dayton
Portland, OR
5 Utah
12 Louisiana Tech
4 West Virginia
13 UC-Davis
Columbus, OH
6 Providence
11 Purdue/Temple
3 Iowa State
14 Eastern Washington
Seattle, WA
7 San Diego State
10 LSU
2 Gonzaga
15 New Mexico State

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:   LSU, Davidson, Ole Miss, Texas, Colorado State, Boise State, Purdue, Indiana, Temple, UCLA 
First 10 Out:  BYU, Texas A&M, Illinois, Tulsa, Miami (FL), Old Dominion, Richmond, Stanford, Iona, Murray State

Multiple Bid Conferences
Big Ten- 7
Big 12- 7
Big East- 6
ACC- 6
SEC- 5
Pac-12- 4
AAC- 3
MWC- 3
A-10- 3
MVC- 2   

Friday - Monday Bubble Updates

Bubble Winners

NC State- The Wolfpack defeated Syracuse for the Orange's final game of the season. Preventing a 13th loss before the conference tourney is huge for NC State as 13 losses will now be the maximum amount losses they will have after the ACC tournament. With plenty of great wins, the Wolfpack are safe and will be dancing.

Miami (FL) - The Canes won at Virginia Tech preventing a bubble bursting loss keeping them in the hunt for a bid. Right now, it does look good for Miami (FL). With 4 bad losses and only 2 Top 50 wins, it is clear that the Canes have some work to do in the ACC tournament to get on the good side of the bubble. Right now, the outlook does not look favorable.

Michigan State- The Spartans won at Indiana and are in great shape for a bid with a Top 30 RPI. The bad is that they only have 2 Top 50 wins and have a couple bad losses. A 3rd bad loss may make things interesting for Izzo's Spartans. Avoid another bad loss in the Big Ten Tourney and Michigan State will be a 100% lock.

Temple- The Owls defeated the defending National Champions to stay in the hunt for a bid. Bad news is that beating the Huskies is only a Top 100 win this year. Temple is on the bubble and could go either way as they are right near the current at-large cut line. Up next is the AAC Tournament where they open with UConn.

Rhode Island- The Rams beat St. Joe's and are the 3rd seed in the A-10 tourney. A lot of work is needed, so a trip to the finals is likely the only way they will be seriously considered. That likely will not be enough, so the automatic bid is their ticket if they want to dance.

Xavier- The Musketeers avoided the potential trap on the road at Creighton. Xavier probably will not have the opportunity to pick up another bad loss moving them into the safe zone for now.

LSU- After moving into a dicey spot, the Tigers responded with a great buzzer beating victory at Arkansas. This huge win propelled the Tigers to a more comfortable position on the bubble where the forecast is much more favorable now. One win in the SEC Tournament may be enough to secure a bid. If not, LSU may be sweating it out.

Texas- The Longhorns beat Kansas State to move to 8-10 in the Big 12. Texas is 2-9 against the RPI Top 25 and 3-11 against the Top 50. With their worst loss being Stanford, the Longhorns may be in better position than people think. However, a bad record against superior competition may be a factor. Although, would they really punish a team that has 12 quality losses? Up next is Texas Tech in the Big 12 Tournament. A win there may be enough for Texas.

Georgia- The Bulldogs avoided another bad loss and being swept by Auburn. UGA should be safe as long as they do not pick up a bad loss in the SEC Tournament.

Purdue- The Boilermakers bounced back and beat Illinois. Purdue sits squarely on the bubble and could go either way if Selection Sunday was tonight. Lose their first game in the Big Ten tournament, and it will be a long wait for Purdue. Some damage in the Big Ten Tourney will help the Boilermakers feel better about their chances.

Old Dominion- The Monarchs beat Western Kentucky and are now currently in the RPI Top 40. With wins over VCU and LSU, but some bad losses, ODU is also on the bubble cut line. The Monarchs need to make the Conference USA Finals to have a chance at an at-large bid. Taking the auto bid should be their goal that would erase any doubt and make other bubble teams breathe easier.

Davidson- The Wildcats defeated Duquesne on the road avoided a set back. This win gave Davidson the regular season A-10 Conference Championship. The Wildcats are moving in the right direction. A run to the semifinals may be enough to solidify a bid. A trip to the A-10 Finals would be a sure thing.

Boise State- The Broncos beat Fresno State clinching the 1 seed in the MWC Tournament. Boise State needs to make the MWC Finals to keep their odds strong. A loss before that would be a bad loss that they cannot afford.

Richmond- The Spiders avoided the potential bubble bursting loss to Saint Louis. Richmond will likely face VCU in the A-10 quarterfinals. A trip to the A-10 Finals with a win over VCU and Davidson could make this bubble long shot a reality.

Colorado State- The Rams win at Utah State preventing a bad loss. Colorado State's resume is very bland (Not many good wins but few questionable losses). The Rams potential will have a huge MWC semifinal against San Diego State. A win there and it will be hard to leave Colorado State out.

BYU- The Cougars edged out Santa Clara and rolled Portland to reach the WCC Finals against Gonzaga. A win would give them an auto bid, but a loss will keep the Cougars sweating as it will be close.

Cincinnati- The Bearcats defeated Memphis and will dance. However, they should not chance picking up a questionable loss in the AAC Tournament.

Bubble Losers

Pittsburgh- The Panthers lost in Tallahassee to the Seminoles, which pretty much pops their bubble. Only chance for the Panthers is to make a run in the ACC tournament where they would likely need to reach the finals. It's possible but looking very cloudy.

Indiana- The Hoosiers lost again and this time it was at home against the Spartans. Indiana is taking on water quickly and is now in trouble of missing the dance. The Big Ten Tournament looms large for them. The Hoosiers may want to win a couple game there to prevent the possibility of being left out.

Texas A&M- The Aggies were defeated at home by Alabama and are now drifting into a dangerous area. The resume lacks quality wins with a sweep of LSU being the only wins of note. Not many bad losses though, which helps. The Aggies likely need to win some games in the SEC tourney to receive a bid.

Stanford- The Cardinal were blitzed at Arizona as expected and are now more of a fringe candidate with only 2 good wins (at Texas, Wofford). Stanford definitely needs to reach the PAC-12 Finals with wins over Utah and Oregon to have a shot.

Dayton- The Flyers lost at La Salle picking up a questionable loss to end their regular season. Dayton has an at-large profile, so as long as they do not pick up another bad loss in the A-10 tourney, they will be dancing.

Illinois- The Illini lost to Purdue and are most likely on the outside looking in. The good news is that Illinois will have an opportunity in the Big Ten Tourney to make one last impression, which a great one will be needed there for the Illini to feel good about their chances.

Ole Miss- The Rebels lost their 7th home game of the season on Saturday making their resume even stranger. They have good wins, but multiple questionable losses with most of those coming at home. Like other, Ole Miss needs to avoid a bad loss in their conference tournament.

Tulsa- The Golden Hurricane were oh so close to picking up their best win of the season, but instead suffered a tough loss at SMU. With a sweep of Temple as your best wins and a profile lacking quality (not many Top 200 wins and a couple bad losses), Tulsa is on the cut line going into AAC tournament where the opportunity for great wins will not be as available. Tulsa's loss to a Division 2 opponent may ultimately keep them from receiving an at-large berth.


Safety Zone
ACC: Virginia, Duke, UNC, Louisville, Notre Dame, NC State
A-10: VCU
AAC: SMU
Big East: Villanova, Butler, Providence, Georgetown, St. John's, Xavier
Big 12: Kansas, Iowa State, Baylor, Oklahoma, West Virginia
Big Ten: Wisconsin, Maryland, Iowa, Ohio State
MVC: Wichita State, Northern Iowa
MWC: San Diego State
PAC-12: Arizona, Utah
SEC: Kentucky, Arkansas,
WCC: Gonzaga

Danger Zone(Safest Teams are listed 1st-However, there is a very thin line from the first team to the last team on this list)
Oregon, Michigan State, Oklahoma State, Dayton, Cincinnati, Georgia, LSU, Ole Miss, Davidson,Colorado State,Texas, Boise State, Purdue, Indiana,Temple.UCLA, Tulsa, BYU, Texas A&M, Old Dominion,Illinois, Miami (FL), Richmond, Pittsburgh, Stanford,Rhode Island, Murray State, Iona




Friday, March 6, 2015

Bracket Projection- 3/6/15

MIDWEST(1)-Cleveland, OH
Louisville, KY
1 Kentucky
16 Bucknell/North Florida
8 Ohio State
9 Oklahoma State
Seattle, WA
5 Louisville
12 Murray State
4 West Virginia
13 Louisiana Tech
Pittsburgh, PA
6 North Carolina
11 Boise State
3 Maryland
14 UC Davis
Omaha, NE
7 St. John's
10 Indiana
2 Kansas
15 William & Mary

WEST(4)-Los Angeles, CA
Pittsburgh, PA
1 Villanova
16 Sacramento State
8 Dayton
9 Georgia
Jacksonville, FL
5 Northern Iowa
12 Wofford
4 Baylor
13 Valparaiso
Columbus, OH
6 Providence
11 Colorado State
3 Notre Dame
14 Central Michigan
Portland, OR
7 Iowa
10 Cincinnati
2 Arizona
15 Albany

EAST(2)-Syracuse, NY
Charlotte, NC
1 Virginia
16 Texas Southern/St. Francis(NY)
8 Xavier
9 Oregon
Jacksonville, FL
5 Wichita State
12 Temple/UCLA
4 Arkansas
13 Harvard
Louisville, KY
6 Butler
11 Purdue
3 Iowa State
14 South Dakota State
Omaha, NE
7 VCU
10 LSU
2 Wisconsin
15 High Point

SOUTH(3)- Houston, TX
Charlotte, NC
1 Duke
16 NC Central
8 Michigan State
9 Ole Miss
Portland, OR
5 Georgetown
12 Stephen F. Austin
4 Utah
13 Iona
Columbus, OH
6 SMU
11 Texas A&M/Davidson
3 Oklahoma
14 Georgia State
Seattle, WA
7 San Diego State
10 NC State
2 Gonzaga
15 New Mexico State

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:  Cincinnati, NC State, LSU, Colorado State, Purdue, Boise State, Texas A&M, Davidson, UCLA, Temple
First 10 Out:  Texas, BYU, Illinois, Tulsa, Miami(FL), Stanford, Pittsburgh, Richmond, Old Dominion, Rhode Island

Multiple Bid Conferences
Big Ten- 7
Big 12- 6
Big East- 6
ACC- 6
SEC- 6
Pac-12- 4
AAC- 3
MWC- 3
A-10- 3
MVC- 2