2015 Final

Bracket Projection- 3/15/15

MIDWEST(1)-Cleveland, OH
Louisville, KY
1 Kentucky
16 Robert Morris/Hampton
8 Ohio State
9 NC State
Seattle, WA
5 Louisville
12 Stephen F. Austin
4 West Virginia
13 Harvard
Columbus, OH
6 Wichita State
11 Temple/Indiana
3 Notre Dame
14 Albany
Omaha, NE
7 Michigan State
10 Colorado State
2 Kansas
15 UAB

WEST(4)-Los Angeles, CA
Omaha, NE
1 Wisconsin
16 Coastal Carolina
8 St. John's
9 Dayton
Columbus, OH
5 Georgetown
12 Buffalo
4 Oklahoma
13 Valparaiso
Jacksonville, FL
6 SMU
11 Boise State/BYU
3 Baylor
14 New Mexico State
Portland, OR
7 Xavier
10 Oklahoma State
2 Arizona
15 Texas Southern

EAST(2)-Syracuse, NY
Pittsburgh, PA
1 Villanova
16 Lafayette
8 Oregon
9 Cincinnati
Jacksonville, FL
5 Arkansas
12 Wofford
4 UNC
13 Georgia State
Pittsburgh, PA
6 Providence
11 Georgia
3 Maryland
14 Northeastern
Charlotte, NC
7 Butler
10 Purdue
2 Virginia
15 Belmont

SOUTH(3)- Houston, TX
Charlotte, NC
1 Duke
16 North Florida/Manhattan
8 Iowa
9 Davidson
Portland, OR
5 Utah
12 Wyoming
4 Northern Iowa
13 Eastern Washington
Louisville, KY
6 VCU
11 LSU
3 Iowa State
14 UC Irvine
Seattle, WA
7 San Diego State
10 Texas
2 Gonzaga
15 North Dakota State

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:   Oklahoma State, Colorado State, Texas, Purdue, Georgia, LSU, BYU, Indiana, Temple, Boise State 
First 13 Out:  Ole Miss, UCLA, Miami (FL), Richmond, Murray State, Tulsa, Old Dominion, Iona, Green Bay, Stanford, Illinois, Connecticut, Texas A&M

Multiple Bid Conferences
Big Ten- 7
Big 12- 7
Big East- 6
ACC- 6
SEC- 5
MWC- 4
Pac-12- 3
AAC- 3
A-10- 3

MVC- 2   

WCC- 2

Bubble Forecast- Morning of Selection Sunday

Safety Zone
ACC: Virginia, Duke, UNC, Louisville, Notre Dame, NC State
A-10: VCU, Dayton, Davidson
AAC: SMU, Cincinnati
Big East: Villanova, Butler, Providence, Georgetown, St. John's, Xavier
Big 12: Kansas, Iowa State, Baylor, Oklahoma, West Virginia
Big Ten: Wisconsin, Maryland, Iowa, Ohio State, Michigan State
MVC: Wichita State, Northern Iowa
MWC: San Diego State, Wyoming
PAC-12: Arizona, Utah, Oregon
SEC: Kentucky, Arkansas
WCC: Gonzaga

Danger Zone- These Teams Could Go Either Way
Colorado State, Oklahoma State, Georgia, Texas
Purdue, LSU, Boise State, Indiana,Temple, BYU, UCLA, Ole Miss, Miami (FL),Old Dominion, Tulsa, Richmond

Others of Note: Texas A&M, Murray State, Iona, Green Bay, Stanford, Rhode Island, Connecticut

Colorado State- The Rams are likely in, but there is a chance the committee could leave them out. With only 2 Top 50 wins and 5 Top 100 with none coming against the Top 25 and an SOS of 110, it is possible. Their positives are a Top 30 RPI and only won bad loss, which are things other bubblers can't say.

Oklahoma State- The Cowboys are pretty much a shoe in to make the dance. Their 17-13 D1 record
 and RPI of 49 makes us a little cautious of putting them in the safe zone, but with 6 Top 50 wins, they should be in.

Georgia- The Bulldogs were sitting good until fellow SEC bubblers began to slide giving Georgia 0 Top 50 wins with their best wins a sweep of Ole Miss. 8-9 record against the Top 100 with 2 bad losses could also help doom the Bulldogs. The best thing is their Top 40 RPI, which might be the main thing that gets them in. Georgia is in very interesting position.

Texas- The Longhorns have no bad losses, but are 3-12 against the Top 50 and 6-13 against the Top 100. With an RPI of 42 and no bad losses, Texas will probably make it.

Purdue- The Boilermakers have 4 Top 50 wins (BYU, Ohio State, NC State, and Iowa) and are 9-8 against the Top 100, but none that really stand out. Purdue also has an RPI of 53, 4 bad losses, and a NSOS of 212. When you dissect this resume, you realize how close to the cut line they really could be.

LSU- The Tigers have the strangest resumes of all bubble teams. 3-2 vs Top 50 and 12-5 vs Top 100 with great wins at West Virginia and at Arkansas. However, they have an RPI of 56 and feature 5 Sub 100 losses with 2 being over 200. Other potential trouble is their NSOS of 174. Their fate will depend on if the selection committee likes their record vs the Top 100 over their 5 bad losses.

Boise State- The Broncos allowed Wyoming to steal a bid and put themselves in a bad spot.3-3 vs Top 50 and 4-5 vs Top 100 with 3 bad losses and an RPI of 41 puts them in a dangerous spot. Will their regular season MWC Championship be valued as well as their sweep of San Diego State? It's going to be close.

Indiana- The Hoosiers have an RPI of 60 and are 4-7 against the Top 50 (Maryland, SMU, Butler, Ohio State). They are 8-12 vs Top 100 with one bad loss. Great Wins, but a bad RPI, road/neutral record (5-9), bad NSOS of 115, and nothing to show for during the second half of the season. If they get in, it will be their wins out of conference vs, SMU and Butler that get them in.

Temple- The Owls beat down of Kansas has carried them this far. Their only other Top 50 win came against Cincy. 2 bad losses doesn't help either, but all other 8 losses are in the Top 50. The RPI of 34 helps, but the Kansas win may be their saving grace. Ultimately, the committee's opinion of the AAC could be the deciding factor.

BYU- The Cougars won at Gonzaga and have nothing else in the Top 50 to show for. They are only 4-4 vs Top 100 with 3 bad losses. Their good RPI, road record, NSOS, and win at Gonzga are their positives. Lack of good wins and multiple bad losses have put the Cougars in trouble. BYU fans will be nervous all day today.

UCLA- The Bruins may be the most impressive team on this list down the stretch especially by playing Arizona to the end twice. Bad thing for UCLA is their 4-11 Road/Neutral record and their 5-10 record vs 100 does not look well. They did beat Utah and Oregon, played a NSOS of 52, and looked very impressive against Arizona. If the Bruins get in, the eye test played a role.

Ole Miss- The Rebels collapsed down the stretch and are in bad shape. They have great wins away from home (at Arkansas, at Oregon, N-Cincinnati), but are 3-5 against the Top 50 and have 4 sub-100 home losses. With an RPI of 55, their road wins, road/neutral record, close game at Kentucky, and NSOS are what is in their favor. Their quantity of home losses especially bad ones is not as well as quantity of good wins in general. This will be an interesting case today.

Miami (FL)- The Hurricanes have the only win at Duke this season, which could carry them in the field. Howver, an RPI of 65, 4 Sub-100 losses, 6-8 vs Top 100, and a NSOS of 193 do not favor Miami (FL). There is a chance, but it will ultimately depend on the value of this season's only win at Duke.

Old Dominion- With 5 bad losses and 1 Top 50 win, it will likely be a longshot. Their 6-2 mark vs Top 100, their NSOS (49), and RPI of 46 are their strengths. It just doesn't seem like it will happen.

Tulsa- The Golden Hurricane's sweep over Temple remains their only Top 50 wins. Tulsa also has a D2 loss at home that does not appear on their RPI. There really isn't anything great on their resume that is showing they are worthy...Maybe their AAC conference record and R/N record of 10-5. The odds are not on their side.

Richmond- The Spiders fell short of their 3rd win over VCU and having a chance at another Top 50 win. With an RPI of 57, 3 Sub 100 losses, and a 7-10 mark vs Top 100, it's probably not going to be the right side of the bubble. However, a NSOS of 32 and 2 Top 25 wins give them a glimmer of hope.

Bracket Projection- 3/14/15

Bracket Projection- 3/14/15

MIDWEST(1)-Cleveland, OH
Louisville, KY
1 Kentucky
16 Robert Morris/Manhattan
8 Ohio State
9 NC State
Jacksonville, FL
5 Georgetown
12 Boise State/BYU
4 UNC
13 Yale
Pittsburgh, PA
6 Butler
11 LSU
3 Maryland
14 Northeastern
Omaha, NE
7 San Diego State
10 Georgia
2 Kansas
15 UAB

WEST(4)-Los Angeles, CA
Charlotte, NC
1 Virginia
16 Coastal Carolina
8 St. John's
9 Cincinnati
Seattle, WA
5 Arkansas
12 Stephen F. Austin
4 West Virginia
13 Georgia State
Jacksonville, FL
6 Providence
11 Indiana
3 Baylor
14 UC Irvine
Portland, OR
7 VCU
10 Oklahoma State
2 Arizona
15 Texas Southern

EAST(2)-Syracuse, NY
Pittsburgh, PA
1 Villanova
16 Lafayette
8 Iowa
9 Davidson
Columbus, OH
5 Louisville
12 Wofford
4 Oklahoma
13 Central Michigan
Columbus, OH
6 Wichita State
11 Temple/UCLA
3 Notre Dame
14 Albany
Omaha, NE
7 Xavier
10 Texas
2 Wisconsin
15 Belmont

SOUTH(3)- Houston, TX
Charlotte, NC
1 Duke
16 North Florida/Delaware State
8 Michigan State
9 Dayton
Portland, OR
5 Utah
12 Valparaiso
4 Northern Iowa
13 Eastern Washington
Louisville, KY
6 SMU
11 Purdue
3 Iowa State
14 North Dakota State
Seattle, WA
7 Oregon
10 Colorado State
2 Gonzaga
15 New Mexico State

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:   Oklahoma State, Texas, Colorado State, LSU, Indiana, Purdue, Boise State, Temple, BYU, UCLA 
First 12 Out:  Ole Miss, Miami (FL), Tulsa, Richmond, Old Dominion,  Stanford, Rhode Island, Texas A&M, Buffalo, Iona, Illinois, Murray State

Multiple Bid Conferences
Big Ten- 7
Big 12- 7
Big East- 6
ACC- 6
SEC- 4
Pac-12- 4
AAC- 3
MWC- 3
A-10- 3

MVC- 2   

WCC- 2

Bracket Projection- 3/13/15

Bracket Projection- 3/13/15

MIDWEST(1)-Cleveland, OH
Louisville, KY
1 Kentucky
16 Robert Morris/Manhattan
8 Ohio State
9 NC State
Seattle, WA
5 Georgetown
12 Stephen F. Austin
4 UNC
13 Valparaiso
Pittsburgh, PA
6 Louisville
11 Texas
3 Maryland
14 Northeastern
Omaha, NE
7 Michigan State
10 Dayton
2 Kansas
15 NC Central

WEST(4)-Los Angeles, CA
Pittsburgh, PA
1 Villanova
16 Lafayette
8 Oregon
9 Cincinnati
Jacksonville, FL
5 Arkansas
12 Indiana/Temple
4 Notre Dame
13 Yale
Jacksonville, FL
6 Providence
11 Purdue
3 Baylor
14 Eastern Washington
Portland, OR
7 Iowa
10 Colorado State
2 Arizona
15 Albany

EAST(2)-Syracuse, NY
Charlotte, NC
1 Virginia
16 Coastal Carolina/North Florida
8 St. John's
9 Davidson
Columbus, OH
5 Butler
12 Wofford
4 West Virginia
13 Central Michigan
Louisville, KY
6 Wichita State
11 Boise State
3 Oklahoma
14 Georgia State
Omaha, NE
7 VCU
10 LSU
2 Wisconsin
15 Belmont

SOUTH(3)- Houston, TX
Charlotte, NC
1 Duke
16 TX Southern
8 Xavier
9 Georgia
Portland, OR
5 Utah
12 Louisiana Tech
4 Northern Iowa
13 UC-Davis
Columbus, OH
6 SMU
11 UCLA/Ole Miss
3 Iowa State
14 North Dakota State
Seattle, WA
7 San Diego State
10 Oklahoma State
2 Gonzaga
15 New Mexico State

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:   Oklahoma State, Colorado State, LSU, Texas, Boise State, Purdue,Ole Miss, Indiana, Temple, UCLA 
First 11 Out:  BYU, Miami (FL), Tulsa, Richmond, Old Dominion, Texas A&M, Illinois, Stanford, Iona, Green Bay, Murray State

Multiple Bid Conferences
Big Ten- 7
Big 12- 7
Big East- 6
ACC- 6
SEC- 5
Pac-12- 4
AAC- 3
MWC- 3
A-10- 3

MVC- 2   

Bracket Projection- 3/11/15

Bracket Projection- 3/11/15

MIDWEST(1)-Cleveland, OH
Louisville, KY
1 Kentucky
16 Robert Morris/Manhattan
8 Ohio State
9 NC State
Seattle, WA
5 Georgetown
12 Stephen F. Austin
4 Louisville
13 Yale
Pittsburgh, PA
6 North Carolina
11 Texas
3 Maryland
14 Northeastern
Omaha, NE
7 Iowa
10 Davidson
2 Kansas
15 Albany

WEST(4)-Los Angeles, CA
Pittsburgh, PA
1 Villanova
16 Coastal Carolina
8 Oregon
9 Cincinnati
Jacksonville, FL
5 Arkansas
12 Indiana/UCLA
4 Northern Iowa
13 Central Michigan
Columbus, OH
6 SMU
11 Boise State
3 Notre Dame
14 Georgia State
Portland, OR
7 St. John's
10 Ole Miss
2 Arizona
15 NC Central

EAST(2)-Syracuse, NY
Charlotte, NC
1 Virginia
16 Lafayette/North Florida
8 Xavier
9 Georgia
Jacksonville, FL
5 Butler
12 Wofford
4 Baylor
13 Valparaiso
Louisville, KY
6 Wichita State
11 Colorado State
3 Oklahoma
14 North Dakota State
Omaha, NE
7 VCU
10 Oklahoma State
2 Wisconsin
15 Belmont

SOUTH(3)- Houston, TX
Charlotte, NC
1 Duke
16 TX Southern
8 Michigan State
9 Dayton
Portland, OR
5 Utah
12 Louisiana Tech
4 West Virginia
13 UC-Davis
Columbus, OH
6 Providence
11 Purdue/Temple
3 Iowa State
14 Eastern Washington
Seattle, WA
7 San Diego State
10 LSU
2 Gonzaga
15 New Mexico State

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:   LSU, Davidson, Ole Miss, Texas, Colorado State, Boise State, Purdue, Indiana, Temple, UCLA 
First 10 Out:  BYU, Texas A&M, Illinois, Tulsa, Miami (FL), Old Dominion, Richmond, Stanford, Iona, Green Bay

Multiple Bid Conferences
Big Ten- 7
Big 12- 7
Big East- 6
ACC- 6
SEC- 5
Pac-12- 4
AAC- 3
MWC- 3
A-10- 3

MVC- 2   

Bracket Projection- 3/10/15

Bracket Projection- 3/10/15

MIDWEST(1)-Cleveland, OH
Louisville, KY
1 Kentucky
16 Coastal Carolina/Manhattan
8 Ohio State
9 NC State
Seattle, WA
5 Georgetown
12 Stephen F. Austin
4 Louisville
13 Yale
Pittsburgh, PA
6 North Carolina
11 Texas
3 Maryland
14 Northeastern
Omaha, NE
7 Iowa
10 Davidson
2 Kansas
15 Albany

WEST(4)-Los Angeles, CA
Pittsburgh, PA
1 Villanova
16 St. Francis (NY)
8 Oregon
9 Cincinnati
Jacksonville, FL
5 Arkansas
12 Indiana/UCLA
4 Northern Iowa
13 Central Michigan
Columbus, OH
6 SMU
11 Boise State
3 Notre Dame
14 Georgia State
Portland, OR
7 St. John's
10 Ole Miss
2 Arizona
15 NC Central

EAST(2)-Syracuse, NY
Charlotte, NC
1 Virginia
16 Lafayette/North Florida
8 Xavier
9 Georgia
Jacksonville, FL
5 Butler
12 Wofford
4 Baylor
13 Valparaiso
Louisville, KY
6 Wichita State
11 Colorado State
3 Oklahoma
14 South Dakota State
Omaha, NE
7 VCU
10 Oklahoma State
2 Wisconsin
15 Belmont

SOUTH(3)- Houston, TX
Charlotte, NC
1 Duke
16 TX Southern
8 Michigan State
9 Dayton
Portland, OR
5 Utah
12 Louisiana Tech
4 West Virginia
13 UC-Davis
Columbus, OH
6 Providence
11 Purdue/Temple
3 Iowa State
14 Eastern Washington
Seattle, WA
7 San Diego State
10 LSU
2 Gonzaga
15 New Mexico State

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:   LSU, Davidson, Ole Miss, Texas, Colorado State, Boise State, Purdue, Indiana, Temple, UCLA 
First 10 Out:  BYU, Texas A&M, Illinois, Tulsa, Miami (FL), Old Dominion, Richmond, Stanford, Iona, Murray State

Multiple Bid Conferences
Big Ten- 7
Big 12- 7
Big East- 6
ACC- 6
SEC- 5
Pac-12- 4
AAC- 3
MWC- 3
A-10- 3

MVC- 2   

Friday - Monday Bubble Updates

Bubble Winners

NC State- The Wolfpack defeated Syracuse for the Orange's final game of the season. Preventing a 13th loss before the conference tourney is huge for NC State as 13 losses will now be the maximum amount losses they will have after the ACC tournament. With plenty of great wins, the Wolfpack are safe and will be dancing.

Miami (FL) - The Canes won at Virginia Tech preventing a bubble bursting loss keeping them in the hunt for a bid. Right now, it does look good for Miami (FL). With 4 bad losses and only 2 Top 50 wins, it is clear that the Canes have some work to do in the ACC tournament to get on the good side of the bubble. Right now, the outlook does not look favorable.

Michigan State- The Spartans won at Indiana and are in great shape for a bid with a Top 30 RPI. The bad is that they only have 2 Top 50 wins and have a couple bad losses. A 3rd bad loss may make things interesting for Izzo's Spartans. Avoid another bad loss in the Big Ten Tourney and Michigan State will be a 100% lock.

Temple- The Owls defeated the defending National Champions to stay in the hunt for a bid. Bad news is that beating the Huskies is only a Top 100 win this year. Temple is on the bubble and could go either way as they are right near the current at-large cut line. Up next is the AAC Tournament where they open with UConn.

Rhode Island- The Rams beat St. Joe's and are the 3rd seed in the A-10 tourney. A lot of work is needed, so a trip to the finals is likely the only way they will be seriously considered. That likely will not be enough, so the automatic bid is their ticket if they want to dance.

Xavier- The Musketeers avoided the potential trap on the road at Creighton. Xavier probably will not have the opportunity to pick up another bad loss moving them into the safe zone for now.

LSU- After moving into a dicey spot, the Tigers responded with a great buzzer beating victory at Arkansas. This huge win propelled the Tigers to a more comfortable position on the bubble where the forecast is much more favorable now. One win in the SEC Tournament may be enough to secure a bid. If not, LSU may be sweating it out.

Texas- The Longhorns beat Kansas State to move to 8-10 in the Big 12. Texas is 2-9 against the RPI Top 25 and 3-11 against the Top 50. With their worst loss being Stanford, the Longhorns may be in better position than people think. However, a bad record against superior competition may be a factor. Although, would they really punish a team that has 12 quality losses? Up next is Texas Tech in the Big 12 Tournament. A win there may be enough for Texas.

Georgia- The Bulldogs avoided another bad loss and being swept by Auburn. UGA should be safe as long as they do not pick up a bad loss in the SEC Tournament.

Purdue- The Boilermakers bounced back and beat Illinois. Purdue sits squarely on the bubble and could go either way if Selection Sunday was tonight. Lose their first game in the Big Ten tournament, and it will be a long wait for Purdue. Some damage in the Big Ten Tourney will help the Boilermakers feel better about their chances.

Old Dominion- The Monarchs beat Western Kentucky and are now currently in the RPI Top 40. With wins over VCU and LSU, but some bad losses, ODU is also on the bubble cut line. The Monarchs need to make the Conference USA Finals to have a chance at an at-large bid. Taking the auto bid should be their goal that would erase any doubt and make other bubble teams breathe easier.

Davidson- The Wildcats defeated Duquesne on the road avoided a set back. This win gave Davidson the regular season A-10 Conference Championship. The Wildcats are moving in the right direction. A run to the semifinals may be enough to solidify a bid. A trip to the A-10 Finals would be a sure thing.

Boise State- The Broncos beat Fresno State clinching the 1 seed in the MWC Tournament. Boise State needs to make the MWC Finals to keep their odds strong. A loss before that would be a bad loss that they cannot afford.

Richmond- The Spiders avoided the potential bubble bursting loss to Saint Louis. Richmond will likely face VCU in the A-10 quarterfinals. A trip to the A-10 Finals with a win over VCU and Davidson could make this bubble long shot a reality.

Colorado State- The Rams win at Utah State preventing a bad loss. Colorado State's resume is very bland (Not many good wins but few questionable losses). The Rams potential will have a huge MWC semifinal against San Diego State. A win there and it will be hard to leave Colorado State out.

BYU- The Cougars edged out Santa Clara and rolled Portland to reach the WCC Finals against Gonzaga. A win would give them an auto bid, but a loss will keep the Cougars sweating as it will be close.

Cincinnati- The Bearcats defeated Memphis and will dance. However, they should not chance picking up a questionable loss in the AAC Tournament.

Bubble Losers

Pittsburgh- The Panthers lost in Tallahassee to the Seminoles, which pretty much pops their bubble. Only chance for the Panthers is to make a run in the ACC tournament where they would likely need to reach the finals. It's possible but looking very cloudy.

Indiana- The Hoosiers lost again and this time it was at home against the Spartans. Indiana is taking on water quickly and is now in trouble of missing the dance. The Big Ten Tournament looms large for them. The Hoosiers may want to win a couple game there to prevent the possibility of being left out.

Texas A&M- The Aggies were defeated at home by Alabama and are now drifting into a dangerous area. The resume lacks quality wins with a sweep of LSU being the only wins of note. Not many bad losses though, which helps. The Aggies likely need to win some games in the SEC tourney to receive a bid.

Stanford- The Cardinal were blitzed at Arizona as expected and are now more of a fringe candidate with only 2 good wins (at Texas, Wofford). Stanford definitely needs to reach the PAC-12 Finals with wins over Utah and Oregon to have a shot.

Dayton- The Flyers lost at La Salle picking up a questionable loss to end their regular season. Dayton has an at-large profile, so as long as they do not pick up another bad loss in the A-10 tourney, they will be dancing.

Illinois- The Illini lost to Purdue and are most likely on the outside looking in. The good news is that Illinois will have an opportunity in the Big Ten Tourney to make one last impression, which a great one will be needed there for the Illini to feel good about their chances.

Ole Miss- The Rebels lost their 7th home game of the season on Saturday making their resume even stranger. They have good wins, but multiple questionable losses with most of those coming at home. Like other, Ole Miss needs to avoid a bad loss in their conference tournament.

Tulsa- The Golden Hurricane were oh so close to picking up their best win of the season, but instead suffered a tough loss at SMU. With a sweep of Temple as your best wins and a profile lacking quality (not many Top 200 wins and a couple bad losses), Tulsa is on the cut line going into AAC tournament where the opportunity for great wins will not be as available. Tulsa's loss to a Division 2 opponent may ultimately keep them from receiving an at-large berth.


Safety Zone
ACC: Virginia, Duke, UNC, Louisville, Notre Dame, NC State
A-10: VCU
AAC: SMU
Big East: Villanova, Butler, Providence, Georgetown, St. John's, Xavier
Big 12: Kansas, Iowa State, Baylor, Oklahoma, West Virginia
Big Ten: Wisconsin, Maryland, Iowa, Ohio State
MVC: Wichita State, Northern Iowa
MWC: San Diego State
PAC-12: Arizona, Utah
SEC: Kentucky, Arkansas,
WCC: Gonzaga

Danger Zone(Safest Teams are listed 1st-However, there is a very thin line from the first team to the last team on this list)
Oregon, Michigan State, Oklahoma State, Dayton, Cincinnati, Georgia, LSU, Ole Miss, Davidson,Colorado State,Texas, Boise State, Purdue, Indiana,Temple.UCLA, Tulsa, BYU, Texas A&M, Old Dominion,Illinois, Miami (FL), Richmond, Pittsburgh, Stanford,Rhode Island, Murray State, Iona

Bracket Projection- 3/6/15

Bracket Projection- 3/6/15

MIDWEST(1)-Cleveland, OH
Louisville, KY
1 Kentucky
16 Bucknell/North Florida
8 Ohio State
9 Oklahoma State
Seattle, WA
5 Louisville
12 Murray State
4 West Virginia
13 Louisiana Tech
Pittsburgh, PA
6 North Carolina
11 Boise State
3 Maryland
14 UC Davis
Omaha, NE
7 St. John's
10 Indiana
2 Kansas
15 William & Mary

WEST(4)-Los Angeles, CA
Pittsburgh, PA
1 Villanova
16 Sacramento State
8 Dayton
9 Georgia
Jacksonville, FL
5 Northern Iowa
12 Wofford
4 Baylor
13 Valparaiso
Columbus, OH
6 Providence
11 Colorado State
3 Notre Dame
14 Central Michigan
Portland, OR
7 Iowa
10 Cincinnati
2 Arizona
15 Albany

EAST(2)-Syracuse, NY
Charlotte, NC
1 Virginia
16 Texas Southern/St. Francis(NY)
8 Xavier
9 Oregon
Jacksonville, FL
5 Wichita State
12 Temple/UCLA
4 Arkansas
13 Harvard
Louisville, KY
6 Butler
11 Purdue
3 Iowa State
14 South Dakota State
Omaha, NE
7 VCU
10 LSU
2 Wisconsin
15 High Point

SOUTH(3)- Houston, TX
Charlotte, NC
1 Duke
16 NC Central
8 Michigan State
9 Ole Miss
Portland, OR
5 Georgetown
12 Stephen F. Austin
4 Utah
13 Iona
Columbus, OH
6 SMU
11 Texas A&M/Davidson
3 Oklahoma
14 Georgia State
Seattle, WA
7 San Diego State
10 NC State
2 Gonzaga
15 New Mexico State

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:  Cincinnati, NC State, LSU, Colorado State, Purdue, Boise State, Texas A&M, Davidson, UCLA, Temple
First 10 Out:  Texas, BYU, Illinois, Tulsa, Miami(FL), Stanford, Pittsburgh, Richmond, Old Dominion, Rhode Island

Multiple Bid Conferences
Big Ten- 7
Big 12- 6
Big East- 6
ACC- 6
SEC- 6
Pac-12- 4
AAC- 3
MWC- 3
A-10- 3

MVC- 2   

Wednesday Night Bubble Results

Wednesday Night Bubble Results

Winners

Ohio State- The Buckeyes won at Penn State  and avoided their first bad loss of the season. Ohio State's resume surprisingly lacks quality wins and is not as good as some may think. Their lone Top 50 win is against Maryland. However, with no bad losses and a regular season finale against Wisconsin remaining, the most bad losses the Buckeyes could have is maybe one from the Big Ten tournament. This means the Buckeyes are now a lock to make the NCAA tournament.

Richmond- The Spiders are a long shot. However, there is a slight chance if things fall in their favor that the Spiders could sneak in. They took care of business on the road at UMass picking up another Top 100 win. Richmond has a lot of work to do and will likely need to win out until the A-10 Finals to have a realistic chance at an at-large bid.

Miami (FL)- The Canes won a must win game on the road at fellow bubbler Pittsburgh. Miami (FL) has been hard to figure out all season and have the most bizarre profile of any bubble team this season. The Canes end their regular season with a trap game at Virginia Tech, which is a no win situation. They must win this game and do some damage in the ACC tournament to increase their not so good odds of dancing that they currently have.

Michigan State- The Spartans avoided losing their third straight and defeated Purdue. The odds are good that the Spartans will be in, but it is not a sure thing yet. With only two Top 50 wins and a couple of bad losses, Sparty does not need to chance anything.  They travel to a reeling Indiana team that is starving for a win. To erase any doubt, one more win will be enough.

Oklahoma State- The Cowboys beat the Horned Frogs preventing a bad home loss. Ok State is in pretty good shape with a high quantity of Top 50 wins. They visit West Virginia on Saturday. A win there will lock them up for good. A loss there and a loss in their first game of the Big 12 tourney could put them in a dicey spot. It is recommended to win one more game to breathe easy on Selection Sunday.

Cincinnati- The Bearcats had struggled down the stretch, but came out with a huge win on the road at AAC leader Tulsa. This gives the Bearcats six Top 50 wins, which is a great number for a bubble team. Memphis comes to town Saturday and then the AAC tourney follows. Two more wins should be enough to secure a bid. If not, Cincy fans may be sweating it out.

St. John's- The Red Storm won at Marquette and likely have punched their ticket to the dance. They will likely be the 5 seed in the Big East Tournament, which will only give them more opportunities to enhance their resume and not pick up any questionable losses. The Red Storm are now in the safety zone.

UCLA- The Bruins beat their rivals, USC, in a game they could not afford to lose. UCLA will likely be sweating it out on Selection Sunday unless they win the Pac-12 tourney. Up next is the Pac-12 quarterfinals where they will likely face Stanford. That game is a must win for the Bruins.

Colorado State- The Rams took care of business on the road against Nevada. Up next: on the road at Utah State. Stew Morrill is retiring at the end of the season, which means this could be his final game at the Smith Spectrum. The Rams need to win this game.

Oregon- The Ducks won their 5th straight last night defeating rival Oregon State in Corvallis. The Ducks should be in regardless of what they do in the conference tourney. A quarterfinal win will lock them in for good as they Ducks have a chance to enhance their seed in the Pac-12 tourney.

Boise State- The Broncos kept San Jose State winless against Division 1 teams last night. Fresno State is up next. Win and the Broncos will be the 1 seed in the Mountain West Tourney. They likely need to reach the conference championship, since they likely won't face San Diego State or Colorado State til the Championship. Losing to anyone else will give them another bad loss.

Illinois- The Illini kept their tourney hopes alive defeating the Cornhuskers. They now head to Purdue for a bubble showdown. Both teams can enhance their resume with the win. A win will put the Illini in better position. Regardless, they will need to do some work in the Big Ten Tourney.

Bubble Losers

LSU- The Tigers suffered a bad home loss to Tennessee and now head to Arkansas for the season finale. If they lose to Arkansas, they can't afford to lose the first game in the SEC Tourney. Two more losses will have the Bayou Bengals sweating on Selection Sunday. Win at Arkansas and the Tigers will likely be safe.

Purdue- The Boilermakers lose their 2nd straight game, this time to the Spartans. Purdue now hosts Illinois in a huge Big Ten Bubble Showdown. A win is needed to stay on the right side of the bubble.

Pittsburgh- In the ACC Bubble Showdown, the Canes went in to Pittsburgh and beat the Panthers. Pitt ends the season at Florida State and can't afford to pick up another bad loss. With no margin of error left, the Panthers need to beat FSU and make a run in the ACC Tourney to have a chance. Another bad loss will likely send this team packing for the NIT.

Tulsa- The opportunity for a marquee win not named Temple was there, and the Golden Hurricane swung and missed. They now head to SMU where a win is needed. A win will land Tulsa the AAC regular season championship. If they lose, Tulsa will probably need to at least reach the AAC finals.

Tuesday Night Bubble Results

Winners

Dayton-The Flyers defeated Rhode Island to stay atop the A-10 standings. This win gives the Flyers another Top 100 win and will almost certainly be dancing. However, the regular season finale at La Salle remains. Dayton should not chance losing to the Explorers. A win at La Salle not only guarantees a share of The A-10 regular season title but will likely lock their bid up.

Iowa- The Hawkeyes won their fifth straight and picked up another big road victory as they defeated the Hoosiers. Iowa now sits in great shape to make the tournament. Avoid the bad loss at home to Northwestern in their final regular season game by extending their winning streak to six and the Hawkeyes are guaranteed to dance.

Ole Miss- The Rebels ended their recent skid by defeating the Crimson Tide on the road. With this win, Ole Miss should dance. Avoid the bad loss at home to Vanderbilt and the Rebels should not have to worry about being left out.

NC State- The Wolfpack avoided losing at Clemson, which is what they needed to do. The Orange come into town as the Orange will play their final game of the season. This game is big for the Wolfpack as the Wolfpack just need to win games and avoid picking up too many losses. A win this Saturday may be enough but work in the ACC tournament may be required to feel great about their chances.

Losers

Rhode Island- The Rams lost at Dayton and now definitely will likely need to win the A-10 Tournament to dance this season. Good news for Rams fans is that URI should be back and better next season.

Indiana- The Hoosiers lost again, and this time it was at home to fellow bubbler Iowa. Their recent struggles have not been good for a team that is not safely in the field. The Hoosiers have some good wins but are starting to take in water quickly. This Saturday they host fellow bubble buddy Michigan State in a game that both teams need.

Georgia- The Bulldogs lost at home to Kentucky as expected but put up quite a fight and eventually fell short. Georgia is in good position to receive a bid. However, a potential bad loss looms as the Bulldogs travel to Auburn whom they are already lost at home to this season. A loss here would harm Georgia's resume and put them in shaky territory. A win may be good enough to put them in the safety zone.

Texas A&M- The Aggies picked up a questionable loss at Florida. However, the Aggies' profile lacks quality wins in general, but they have a high RPI and no bad losses which should work in their favor. With this type of resume, it is important the Aggies do not pick up any more questionable losses. Their only Top 50 wins is a sweep of LSU, so another marquee win would help. They host Alabama on Saturday in a must win for the Aggies.

Bracket Projection- 3/3/15

Bracket Projection- 3/3/15

MIDWEST(1)-Cleveland, OH
Louisville, KY
1 Kentucky
16 Bucknell/North Florida
8 Michigan State
9 Oklahoma State
Jacksonville, FL
5 Butler
12 UCLA/Temple
4 Notre Dame
13 Harvard
Pittsburgh, PA
6 North Carolina
11 Tulsa
3 Maryland
14 Toledo
Omaha, NE
7 St. John's
10 Oregon
2 Kansas
15 William & Mary

WEST(4)-Los Angeles, CA
Pittsburgh, PA
1 Villanova
16 Sacramento State
8 Dayton
9 Ohio State
Jacksonville, FL
5 Louisville
12 Murray State
4 Arkansas
13 Valparaiso
Louisville, KY
6 Providence
11 Colorado State
3 Baylor
14 UC Davis
Portland, OR
7 Indiana
10 Cincinnati
2 Arizona
15 Albany

EAST(2)-Syracuse, NY
Charlotte, NC
1 Virginia
16 Texas Southern/St. Francis(NY)
8 Georgia
9 Iowa
Seattle, WA
5 Northern Iowa
12 Louisiana Tech
4 West Virginia
13 Stephen F. Austin
Omaha, NE
6 Georgetown
11 Boise State
3 Iowa State
14 South Dakota State
Columbus, OH
7 VCU
10 Ole Miss
2 Wisconsin
15 High Point

SOUTH(3)- Houston, TX
Charlotte, NC
1 Duke
16 NC Central
8 Xavier
9 LSU
Portland, OR
5 Wichita State
12 Wofford
4 Utah
13 Iona
Columbus, OH
6 SMU
11 Purdue/NC State
3 Oklahoma
14 Georgia State
Seattle, WA
7 San Diego State
10 Texas A&M
2 Gonzaga
15 New Mexico State

Danger Zone
Last 10 In:  Oregon, Cincinnati, Texas A&M, Colorado State, NC State, Purdue, Boise State(At-Large), UCLA, Tulsa(At-large), Temple
First 10 Out:  BYU, Davidson, Illinois, Texas, Pittsburgh, Stanford, Miami(FL), Rhode Island, Old Dominion, Richmond

- Boise State and Tulsa are on the bracket representing their conferences as the champion since they both are currently in 1st place.

Multiple Bid Conferences
Big Ten- 7
Big 12- 6
Big East- 6
ACC- 6
SEC- 6
Pac-12- 4
AAC- 4
MWC- 3
A-10- 2

MVC- 2           

Bubble Teams Shake Up Potential Field

Bubble teams shook up things yesterday making the final two weeks much more interesting than the forecast had shown.Yesterday showed that the bubble picture was far from set as bubble teams made statements in particular BYU and Boise State. With these results, it's safe to say we are in for a thrilling two weeks as there are several teams that have a thin line

Winners

Boise State- The Broncos picked up their biggest win of the season by crunching out a win at San Diego State ending the Aztecs' 29- game home winning streak. Boise State is now 2-1 against the Top 25, 3-2 against the Top 50, and 6-4 against the Top 100. This win moves them into our projected field and also puts the Broncos in the driver's seat to win the Mountain West regular season, and they control their own destiny owning the tiebreaker over the Aztecs. Up this week for the Broncos is, at San Jose State and vs. Fresno State. Both are must win games if the Broncos want to stay on pace to dance.

BYU- The Cougars were an at-large after thought entering Saturday and picked up one of the biggest wins of the season for any team as they ended Gonzaga's 41-game home winning streak on Senior Night. This win likely does not put the cougars in the field yet, but it puts them on the cusp and will be seriously discussed as a potential at-large team. Up next for the Cougars: WCC Conference Tournament. The Cougars likely must make the finals and face Gonzaga to have a chance to receive a bid. Best case scenario is obviously to win the automatic berth.

Dayton- The Flyers were a likely tournament team entering the day and were fortunate to be facing a limping VCU team without Briante Weber. The Flyers added another great road win to their resume which is also their 3rd Top 50 win. The Flyers are in decent shape to make the field and have an opportunity to win the A-10. Up this week for the Flyers: vs. Rhode Island, at LaSalle

St. John's- The Red Storm enhanced their resume with a home win over the Georgetown Hoyas and are in good standing to dance. However, they finish their regular season on the roads this week at Marquette and at Villanova. One more win will lock the Red Storm up.

LSU- The Tigers best Ole Miss giving them their 4th Top 50 win this season. With the win, the Tigers' dancing outlook feels much better than it did a week ago. LSU cannot afford anymore questionable losses. Up this week for the Tigers: vs Tennessee, at Arkansas. A win over the Vols might enough in the long run as long as they do not pick up a bad loss in the SEC Tournament.

Georgia, Rhode Island, Cincinnati, Wofford, Old Dominion, Iowa, Davidson, Illinois, Richmond, Tulsa and Texas A&M- All of these teams won avoiding a loss they could not afford.

Losers

NC State- The Wolfpack followed a huge road win with a bad loss on the road to the Eagles of Boston College. NC State is still on the right side of the bubble but is by at no means a lock. Up this week: at Clemson, vs Syracuse. Win both and the Wolfpack should breathe easy on Selection Sunday.

Xavier- The Musketeers had a great opportunity to solidify their bid with a win over a red hot Villanova team, but instead, they stumbled at home where they have been great all year. Xavier is very likely going dancing but needs to finish strong. Up this week: at Creighton. A win will lock them up. A loss may put them in icy waters.

Miami (FL)- The Hurricanes lost at home to the Tar Heels and are reeling quickly. Miami(FL) is on the outside looking in and has a lot of work to do to get in. Up this week: at Pittsburgh, at Virginia Tech. Canes need both to get back in serious discussion.

Ole Miss- The Rebels entered the week in great shape, but a loss at home to Georgia earlier this week and now at LSU puts them closer to the cut line. Ole Miss is now in rough waters as they enter the final week of the regular season. Up this week: at Alabama, vs Vanderbilt. The Rebels need both to feel great about their chances.

Oklahoma State- The Cowboys picked up their fourth straight loss yesterday, and it was a bad one as they lost at Texas Tech. The Cowboys have plenty of good wins and are still in decent shape. But at 7-9 in the Big 12, the final week is very important. Up this week: vs TCU, at West Virginia. Win both and the Cowboys will definitely dance.

Texas: The Longhorns lost again and are now 1-12 against the Top 50 once again proving they cannot beat tournament quality teams. However, the Longhorns have NO BAD LOSSES, which will be interesting to see what the Selection Committee does if this holds. Texas is in a dangerous spot where they need good wins. Up this week: vs Kansas State, vs Baylor.

Bubbles Burst: UTEP, St. Mary's


Safety Zone
ACC: Virginia, Duke, UNC, Louisville, Notre Dame
A-10: VCU
AAC: SMU
Big East: Villanova, Butler, Providence, Georgetown
Big 12: Kansas, Iowa State, Baylor, Oklahoma, West Virginia
Big Ten: Wisconsin, Maryland
MVC: Wichita State, Northern Iowa
MWC: San Diego State
PAC-12: Arizona, Utah
SEC: Kentucky, Arkansas,
WCC: Gonzaga

Danger Zone(Safest Teams are listed 1st-However, there is a very thin line from the first team to the last team on this list)
St. John's, Indiana, Oklahoma State, Xavier, Dayton,  Iowa, LSU, Michigan State, Georgia, Ohio State, Texas A&M, Ole Miss, Cincinnati, Oregon, Colorado State, Purdue, NC State, Boise State, UCLA, Tulsa, Temple. BYU, Davidson, Pittsburgh,Texas, Stanford, Illinois, Wofford(At-Large), Old Dominion, Rhode Island, Richmond