(1)Midwest- Chicago, Illinois
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(1)Midwest- Chicago, Illinois
(1)Midwest- Chicago, Illinois
What a 1st weekend it was with 4 teams(13 North Texas, 13 Ohio, 14 Abilene Christian, and 15 Oral Roberts) seeded 13 or worse making it to the 2nd round for the 1st time in tournament history.
Also, the first time in history 4 double-digit seeds have reached the Sweet 16(11 UCLA, 11 Syracuse, 12 Oregon State, and 15 Oral Roberts)
As wild as the 1st two rounds have been, heavy favorite Gonzaga is still alive as well as Baylor and Michigan.
With the Sweet 16 ahead of us, they are plenty of questions that come to mind:
Who is Gonzaga's biggest threat?
Can Loyola Chicago get back to the final four?
Can a double-seed reach the final four?
Will all 3 1-seeds reach the final four?
Before we think about these questions, let's rank and analyze each Sweet 16 match-up from the most intriguing match-up.
1. 6 USC vs 7 Oregon
This is the most intriguing matchup in the Sweet 16 because of how well both teams looked this weekend. The Dunking Ducks could not be slowed down as they rolled past Oregon and The Trojans played the most complete game by any team in this tournament with their destruction of Kansas. These are also 2 of the most underrated teams going into the tournament. With that being said, the winner of this game could be Gonzaga's biggest challenger in the entire bracket. The Trojans are long and dominate the middle lead by the Mobley Brothers and an underrated backcourt ran by Taj Eaddy. Their length on the court and their ability to defend and rebound makes them a tough out. The Ducks have a trio of veteran guards led by Chris Duarte and versatile forward Eugene Omoruyi. Their efficient offense and defense will make this an excellent game. Can't wait for this battle.
2. 8 Loyola Chicago vs 12 Oregon State
Speaking of underrated teams going into the tournament, the Ramblers are also at the top with USC and Oregon. This team really defends well and is very efficient on offense led by Cameron Krutwig. Illinois could never find any rhythm on offense as they were held to just 58 points. The Ramblers have emerged as the possible favorite to reach the final 4 in their region. However, they will play against Oregon State who is riding a 5-game winning streak dating back to the Pac-12 tournament. This streak includes wins over UCLA, Oregon, Colorado, Tennessee, and Oklahoma State. They have also been very impressive on offense and defense. Their defense really shut down Tennessee and Oklahoma State. The Beavers also recorded a +20 on rebounds in their victory over Oklahoma State. Their balanced attack and depth has been great. This matchup includes two of the hottest teams right now both trying to keep their runs alive. Don't let the seeds fool you, these teams can play! A legitimate final four contender emerges out of this game.
3. 1 Baylor vs 5 Villanova
The Bears have been in Gonzaga's elite class all year dominating most of the season with their Covid pause being their only slowdown. They reach the Sweet 16 defeating Hartford and Wisconsin and are currently the favorite to reach the title game from this side of the bracket. What makes this game intriguing is the backcourt battle. Baylor's backcourt vs Jay Wright's 41 offense. Jeremiah Robinson-Earl has been excellent in this tournament so far. However, Butler, Mitchell, and Teague will be a challenge, especially without Collin Gillespie. This matchup also features two of the best coaches in today's game- Scott Drew and Jay Wright. If Scott Drew wants to get his first final four, it will take beating 2-time National Champion Jay Wright.
4. 3 Arkansas vs 15 Oral Roberts
Eric Musselman has done a tremendous job at Arkansas. In his 2nd season, they have a legitimate chance to reach the Final 4 for the 1st time since 1995. Justin Smith has been terrific so far in the tournament. The Razorbacks responded well to a slow start against Colgate and knocked off Texas Tech with a great defensive performance. Oral Roberts has been the best story so far in this tournament upsetting Ohio State and Florida to reach the Sweet 16. Led by Max Abmas and Kevin Obanor, Paul Mills' squad can score. This duo has been terrific in the NCAA tournament. This matchup is intriguing because they have played each other once this season. Oral Roberts actually led by 10 at the half before losing in the 2nd half. The familiarity makes this a great matchup as the Golden Eagles look to
5. 2 Houston vs 11 Syracuse
The Cougars are the highest seed remaining in this bracket after a resilient comeback victory over Rutgers. They have been an outstanding defensive team all season. When they are scoring, they are hard to beat. However, Rutgers defense shut Marcus Sasser down. Great defense put them in position to win. How will they respond against Boeheim's lethal 2-3 zone? If Sasser, Grimes, and Jarreau can make threes and find the holes in the zone, they can win this game. The Orange led by hot shooting Buddy Boeheim have been a great story in this tournament. 3-pt shooting has been helped get them to the Sweet 16 bouncing out West Virginia and San Diego State. This game is an intriguing matchup because of how well both teams can defend and shoot the 3. Can the Houston backcourt shutdown Boeheim and Girard? Whoever can defend the perimeter better likely wins.
6. 2 Alabama vs 11 UCLA
Layups, free throws, and 3-pointers, the offensive style for Crimson Tide has been deadly down the stretch this season as they torched Maryland in the 2nd round. They survived a scare from Iona in the 1st round but appear to have a good shot to get to the Final Four under 2nd year head coach Nate Oats. Herb Jones leads a deep scoring attack of great 3-point shooters and an entertaining offense to watch. UCLA won 3 games last week led by the 3 J's and Tyger. Juzang and Jacquez were excellent. Their defense also shut down BYU's shooters to only 3 made 3-pointers. If the Bruins want to win, it will take shutting down the Crimson Tide's offense and being efficient on offense. If they can play their style, they will have a chance to win this game. If Alabama can make 3's and play up tempo, it will favor them.
7. 1 Michigan vs 4 Florida State
With the Big Ten's back against the wall, Michigan came through without Livers to advance to the Sweet 16. The Wolverines are the lone representative left from the Big Ten and Livers will be ready to go against the Seminoles. The Seminoles survived a scare in Round 1 by a UNC-Greensboro team that choked on the foul line down the stretch allowing FSU to stay in front. FSU's interior and length helped keep Colorado out of rhythm in Round 2. The Buffaloes may have been emotionally drained by the news of tragic shooting before the game as well. The Wolverines have a better interior than the Buffaloes. This game could go either way but will likely depend on how well the Michigan guards deal with the length of FSU's guards and how well the Seminoles shoot from the perimeter.
8. 1 Gonzaga vs 5 Creighton
Gonzaga's perfect season in still in tact as they survived a decent challenge from Oklahoma though the Bulldogs never seemed to be in danger of losing. Creighton defeated UCSB as the potential winning basket from the Gauchos barely rimmed out. The Bluejays shot well in Round 2 against Ohio as their offense was very efficient. Since Creighton has been up and down all season, it is hard to see them winning this game. However, when Creighton catches fire from 3, they are hard to beat. The key for Creighton will be Zegorowski, Ballack, and Mahoney draining threes with Bishop controlling the paint. The keys for Gonzaga are the same as they have done every game. Shoot well from the perimeter, get Timme going early, and controlling the tempo by outscoring their opponent.
After 2 years, the madness is back! The most exciting round of the tournament is approaching- the 1st Round. The round of 64! This round brings us 32 games of nail biters, occasional blowouts, and....UPSETS! Who is going to be this year's cinderella(s)? Below is 10 games with upset potential.
The list includes games from 7/10 up to 1/16. 9 seeds beating 8 seeds are technically upsets too but don't feel as much like an upset as the double-digit seeds winning.
Top 10
1. 10 Virginia Tech over 7 Florida
The Hokies come in as a 10-seed and have recently returned from Covid pause. They played North Carolina tough in their first game back after Covid. The Gators played well in January but since losing at home to South Carolina seem to have struggled down the stretch and have now lost 3 out of 4 with their only win being a 6 point win over Vanderbilt.
2. 10 Rutgers over 7 Clemson
The Scarlet Knights are back in the tournament for the 1st time in 30 years. They competed pretty well in a strong Big Ten this season. The Tigers were hot at the start of the season beating Alabama, Purdue, and Maryland but lately seem to be struggling especially away from home and recently upset in the ACC tournament by Miami.
3. 12 Winthrop over 5 Villanova
Jay Wright has been one of the best basketball coaches in the last decade winning two National championships and has made Villanova a perennial power. However, losing Colin Gillespie and drawing a team with 1 loss on the season will be a tough match-up. The Eagles have been great all season and know how to win. This game could go either way and should be a great one.
4. 12 Georgetown over 5 Colorado
The Hoyas played very well in the Big East Tournament winning 4 games in 4 days beating two other 5 seeds(Villanova and Creighton) on their way to punch their ticket. Will they continue their success? They can pull off the upset if it continues but the Buffaloes will be a tough test led by senior guard McKinley Wright and big man Evan Battey, one of the best duos in college basketball this season.
5. 12 Oregon State over 5 Tennessee
The Beavers beat 3 tournament teams(UCLA, Oregon, and Colorado) to punch their ticket to the Big Dance. They are 6-1 so far this March with all 6 wins coming away from home. They are hot right now but the question is will it continue? The Volunteers have been hot and cold all season. When they play their best, they can beat anyone. However, when they struggle to score, they can be vulnerable.
6. 11 UCLA/Michigan State over 6 BYU
The Cougars also dominated a good WCC this season. The committee respected the WCC by also rewarding BYU with a 6 seed. The Bruins and Spartans have the talent to pull off the upset. Injuries have hurt the Bruins down the stretch as inconsistency has hurt the Spartans. If BYU shoots like they did in the WCC final, they will be tough to beat.
7. 13 Ohio over 4 Virginia
The Bobcats almost won at Illinois early in the season and are lead by NBA prospect Jason Preston. Virginia has had their struggles this season when defending the 3, which was shown early on in their upset loss to San Francisco. The Cavaliers have also had to deal with COVID protocols which has delayed their travel to Indianapolis. However, Virginia is one of the best defensive teams in the nation, so it is hard to count them out. Of course, if Ohio can shoot a high percentage from 3, they will be hard to beat just like UMBC did that time.
8. 12 UC Santa Barbara over 5 Creighton
Creighton has been up and down all year. When they are playing well, they are one of the most efficient offensive teams and can scorch the nets like a Final Four contender as seen in the Big East tourney against Butler. After the Georgetown game, it is hard to tell which Creighton team we will get. UCSB has won 18 of 19 and are lead by Oregon State transfer JaQuori McLaughlin.The Gauchos are also a very efficient offensive team and shoot about 49% from the field. This game will likely depend on which Creighton team we see.
9. 14 Eastern Washington over 3 Kansas
This game is flying under the radar as an intriguing matchup. Eastern Washington is led by big man Tanner Groves. The Eagles have won 13 of their last 14 and played 3 Pac-12 teams(Arizona, Washington State, and Oregon) to narrow losses while leading for most of the games at Arizona and Washington State. Kansas has been battling COVID issues as three players are currently fighting it and have not joined the team in Indy yet. McCormack and Enaruna are expected to join later this week, but for those who have not had COVID, it takes time to build back up. With this given, this could be one to look at.
10. 13 North Texas over 4 Purdue
Purdue is the Big Ten that was in the middle of the top 4 and the bubble teams. The Boilermakers were challenged early by Liberty, Valparaiso, and Indiana State and picked up an early loss to Miami (FL). This results show that lesser opponents can hang with them. Purdue did pick it up though and finish 4th in the Big Ten, but primarily feasted on the middle and bottom of the Big Ten. North Texas comes in winning the C-USA in an Overtime thriller against Western Kentucky. The Mean Green played tight games at West Virginia and Loyola-Chicago, so they are somewhat battle tested. North Texas is not a great offensive team as they like to play slower and grind it out. Don't look for much scoring in this one as it could be a first to 50 situation.
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With only 1 day until Selection Sunday, Championship Week continues today with several bubble teams and at-large locks in action. In the most unusual season of all time featuring limited schedules and a wide range of games played, it is hard to know exactly how the committee will view bubble teams this year. Therefore, it is hard to use past seasons as a precedent.
With the possible COVID outbreak, we will see if at-large locks will drop from their conference tourneys.